Hey yo, what’s up everybody? What’s going on folks? Welcome to the True Trading Group live stream. Hope you guys had a nice weekend. Hope you had a nice weekend of or I watched a nice Sunday of football, a nice Saturday of college football, some pretty good college games on some pretty good NFL games on. But you guys are here with me tonight instead at 8:05 p.m. Eastern Standard on October 11th. Yes, this is a live stream. This is not a recorded video. We’re going to talk tonight about how we’re going to make some money this week. It’s going to be a big week. You have a lot of catalysts. We’ve got earnings kicking back up. We’ve got CPI, inflation data that’s going to be on deck. Tons of catalyst to get this market moving. In case you missed it, we just recently made a brand new all-time high last week. and futures are trading higher up about a quarter of a percent um to start off this Sunday evening when futures opened up just a couple of hours ago. And everybody kind of has the same question. Everybody wants to know, can you trust this move to new all-time highs? Is this is the market has the market completely lost its mind? Is the market going delirious? Is the market gone mad? Is the market not pricing in the risks that lie ahead? Or can this market rally continue? Can the new all-time high continue to push or is it a bull trap? These are all the questions that I’m getting asked from people. I’m getting asked from members of your trading group. I’m getting asked just from random people on my social media pages. If you guys want to follow me on X, you can go ahead and do so. My Twitter handle is Mike Edward_TTG. Again, that is Mike Edward_TTG. Go ahead there and give me a follow. I’m always posting market commentary, analysis, trade ideas, um, you know, some breaking news type stuff also on my page. So, go ahead and give me a follow there, mike edward_TTG. Um, but these are the questions and even my friends, even my friends are asking me these questions. You know, my my group chat with my friends, I’m getting these same kind of questions on, hey man, what do you think? you know, can the market continue to make new all-time highs while bond yields sit where they are? And there’s been a really big debate as of late on whether or not is this just the new norm for bond yields or is something wrong? And if you had asked me six months ago, you said, “Mike, listen man, here’s the deal. The 10-year Treasury yield is going to go to F is going to go above 5.3%. Where is this S&P? If you said this to me a year ago, 6 months ago, I would have probably said if the 10 years at 5.3, I’d say the S&P is probably in correction territory, meaning that we would be down more than 10% from the highs. And instead, the market just made a new all-time high just a couple of days ago and continues to sit just, you know, a hair off of that all-time high and futures are pushing higher, you know, even right now to be within less than less than a percent of that all-time high. Um, and it’s been pretty remarkable. And I’m not going to lie, I I am I am impressed. I am surprised by how strong equity markets have been in the face of this rise these rising bond yields and you know some sticky inflation and still still elevated oil prices. Um I’m I’m surprised I’m surprised to see equities where they are. But earnings have just been that damn good. Earnings have been that good and they’re mostly driven by all the AI stocks, all the AI AI infrastructure stocks. The the labor data and the jobs data has still been okay. you still haven’t seen any breakage in the in the labor markets. Um earnings have been great. Um GDP numbers were good. You know, GDP coming in, you know, 22 on real GDP. And then you have nominal GDP um that is tra that is up around 6%. And that takes me to something that I wanted to go over because there’s this old kind of um math, I guess you can call it, that the stock market really used to abide by and it kind of went away for a while. And and this is why when you hear people talk about is this just the new is this the new norm for interest rates and the S&P 500 and equities and you know PE ratios on equities to the to the to the 10-year. Um, and one of the things that used to be the case and used to be pretty standard would be that the 10-year Treasury, the yield on the 10-year would be around nominal GDP. Now real GDP is actually just going from the increase in the goods and services um that are produced in the country. The nominal GDP factors in inflation within that as well. And if you look at a if you look at a real a real GDP of 22 and you look at inflation of 34 that puts you at 55. the 10-year Treasury is 53. So, if you go by the old ways of math and you’re you’re you’re probably going to start to hear a couple of people, if you haven’t heard it already, you might have heard people talk about this already, but you’re probably going to start to see maybe you might see people talk about on social media. You might see people talk about it on CNBC. I don’t know if that’s the right answer, right? I’m not I’m not sitting here to answer that question. I don’t pretend to be smart enough to know if that if this is just the new norm or not. I’m just telling you. I’m just kind of going through and analyzing and kind of putting putting the the thoughts into your mind and and letting you kind of understand where my head is at with everything with the markets. But PE ratios on the S&P 500 have come down. You know, we used to be over 22 almost 23 times. We’ve come down to underneath 20, 18 to 19 times, which is really, it’s not cheap, but it’s also not insanely expensive. So, are there some individual stocks that are expensive? Sure. But is the overall market as a whole factoring in the earnings growth that we have? Is it expensive? No, it’s not. It’s not cheap, but it’s not insanely expensive. We The market’s actually gotten cheaper from a multiple basis. And the reason why we’ve gotten cheaper is because the E in the PE ratio has gotten so large that that’s what you divide by. That’s the denominator in the equation. And that’s why the multiples come down because earnings have been so strong. So the multiples come down as bond yields have moved higher but yet equities continue to push and make the multi minds. And I think it’s the really the answer is just it’s earnings still. I’m surprised I’m surprised by where we sit. I am still very heavily invested in the long-term portfolio and I have been I’m not going to lie. I wasn’t happy when when the Fed raised rates. Um, I won’t be happy if they raise rates again because most of the time when you have really strong bull market rallies, most of the time those bull market rallies, they don’t end because stocks get too expensive. They end usually because there’s a pin head that pops the bubble. And usually throughout history, the pin head that pops the bubble is the Fed. The Fed changing up monetary policy, whether they start to do quantitative tightening or if they start going on a rate hike cycle. And that’s typically what ends up popping a really strong bull market and then you get a nice reset, a correction or a bare market before, you know, trying to find your footing, establishing a new base over a period of a couple years and then making a move back up towards those highs once, you know, policy starts to shift again. So I don’t like the fact that the Fed was was starting to go through this hike cycle. But I do believe that the Fed I do believe that we have seen peak Fed hawkishness as far as the market goes. A couple of weeks ago, we were at a point where with the last Fed meeting where the market was actually beginning to think that the Fed wasn’t going to just raise rates two or three times, but they started thinking that the Fed’s going to raise rates four, five, six times, that we’re going to get 100 to 150 basis points of rate hikes. And since that has been the case, you’ve had some lighter than expected jobs data. You’ve had some lighter thanex expected um inflation data, and the expectations of those rate hikes have since fallen off. We at one point were at a over 70% likelihood of a rate hike in the October meeting. That’s now fallen below 20%. We’re at around 15% likelihood of a rate hike at the October meeting. So I think that we’re past peak Fed hawkishness. They might give you one more rate hike in December. I really don’t think they raise rates in October. I wouldn’t be surprised if they don’t raise rates in December either, but it is definitely possible that they could. Um, and then I think maybe that might kind of just be it. But the CPI data we’re going to get this week is going to be really really important with that. That CPI number is not expected to be a good one. Um, it is expected to have gone up pretty pretty considerably. Um, 2% supposed to go up from the prior month. And your month-over-month number, I’m seeing some month-over-month numbers as the highest 6% which is incredibly high for a month-over-month number. Um, so the the expectations for the CPI numbers are are really not that great. So I I like when the expectations are high on inflation because it’s easier to have a potential miss to the downside versus if inflation expectations were really low, then it’s pretty easy to have a miss to the upside and the market’s going to react to a surprise. The market’s not going to necessarily react to something that’s already expecting. It would react to a surprise. And I like the fact that there’s more of it of of an opportunity here where it looks like with the expectations where they are that we can maybe get a number that comes in lighter than expected and maybe that could help help equities move higher that could help bond yields pull back a little bit. But, you know, you got to start thinking about if if this is just the new norm with bond yields. And if you go by that old math of the 10-year yield equals nominal GDP, we’re right there. You know, right now 3.4 inflation and a 2.2 real GDP. That puts you at 56. You’re at 53 right now. You know, you’re at 53. So, um, and equities continue to trade perfectly fine. So, I’m I’m in the same boat as as a lot of people that are kind of scratching their heads a little bit with how well equities have performed with bond yields doing what they’re doing. But that’s really for us to talk about in the long-term portfolio whether or not we’re going to be selling because I haven’t I mean I’ve done a little I I’ve done a little things lately like I took some profit off on a couple of names that I’ve owned for several years without taking profit on any of them and I rolled some of that money into some new names. Um I I bought a a stock for the very first time. I added to a position that I already own. But I’m not really selling. I’m just I’m I’m reallocating capital like I’m trimming some really huge winners and I’m I’m adding to some other stocks that have pulled back lately. I’m not actually pulling money out of the market. I’m not actually going into cash, right? Because I it’s not that I’m bearish. Some of the things I’ve done in my long-term portfolio over the last week was for the first time I’ve been buying these stocks um my cyber security stocks. I’ve been buying them every year since 2022. So 22, 23, 24, 25, 26. I bought Crowd Strike, PaloAlto, foret, Crowd Strike is my largest, cyber security holding, PaloAlto is my second, and then uh fortunate is my third. And I just trimmed uh I took some profit off on all three of them on uh Tuesday. Okay, so we had that huge gap up day on Tuesday. I just felt like the stocks were just extended to a point. It’s been a huge these things have been absolutely monster performers in the long-term portfolio. So, I’ve trimmed some of these. Um, I still own large positions in them, but it’s the first time that I’ve taken profit in these stocks since I’ve started buying them. So, that that is, you know, kind of significant. But I trimmed Crowd Strike, I trimmed PaloAlto, and it trimmed for me somewhere between 10 and 15% of the position. Um, so again, I still own large positions, but I trimmed them. Um, I also trimmed ticker symbol P. Company’s name is Everpure. This is a stock that I’ve owned also since 2022 when it used to be called Pure Storage, ticker symbol PSTG. I bought this stock in the 20s, guys. The stock is at $155 and I’ve never I’ve never sold it. I’ve never trimmed it. This is going to this is the first trim for me. Um, also on ticker symbol P, Pure Storage. So, these are just huge runners that I’m just taking a little piece off. And what did I do with some of that capital? you know, I went ahead and I I added back to my BWXT position, which is a stock I bought in 2023. I have not added to this position every single year. I only added to it one more time in 2025 when the stock was trading at around 90 bucks. Um, and now I’ve added to it again. I’ve added to it again in the 130s. Um, I also went ahead and I bought for the very first time this this stock UEC. Um, so again, UEC, you know, the first time that I’m buying that I’m buying this. So, I just I just took profit off in some of these names and I went ahead. Oh, and I also added to my IBM position. I added to IBM. Um, so I’m just kind of reallocating capital. I’m not selling, right? Like I’m still very fully invested in the long-term portfolio. I’ve also recently added to VST a couple months ago. Uh, these are positions I already have. Um, I also added to CEG a couple of months ago, position that I already have. Um, so just kind of give me Oh, I I added to my Uber position position I already have. I’ve added to my Netflix position, position I already have. Um, but this is just what I’m doing with some of the the cash that I’m raising on some of these profits that I’m taking. I’m not necessarily getting rid of I’m not taking money out of the market. I’m just kind of reallocating it. And then what I had left over, I spread it into my covered call ETFs. get myself a nice 10 to 14% dividend on them. QQQI, QYLD, SPY, JPI,
and JPQ. Okay. Um, so those are the cover call ETFs. So that’s what I’ve done. That’s what I’ve done with with with with the cash. So just kind of reallocating some cash and in different parts of the market. Um, so I’m still very heavily invested. I’m I’m going to stay very heavily invested until something changes with the Fed and with inflation. If inflation really begins to accelerate, if the Fed really actually does raise rates like three, four, five times, um that’s when I’m going to start to go ahead and start selling in my long-term portfolio. For now, we’re staying very heavily invested. We’re letting all of our AI stocks work. We’re letting, you know, the rest of our diversification, diversified holdings work. It’s been a really great year for us. Okay. So, I know I kind of talked a little bit more about the macro there to kind of start off this live stream, but really what we’re going to do from here on out now is we’re going to talk about really this upcoming week specifically. Okay. Um, I just want to kind of give you kind of a summary of where I’m at with the macro and then dive in now with some trade ideas specifically for this week and talk about exactly how we plan on making money going forward. I’m not a Monday morning quarterback. I don’t come on these live streams and tell you what I did the days before. I tell you, I stick my neck out there and I tell you exactly what I think the markets are going to do in the days to come and exactly what stocks I’m going to be buying or shorting in order to profit from what I believe the markets are going to do. And that’s what we’re going to do here today in this live stream. Now, if you guys are new, you maybe just came across this channel from YouTube, suggested it to you, whatever it is, if you guys are new, my name is Michael Edward Perinati. I go by Michael Edward, and I’m the co-founder and head trader of True Trading Group, also TTG AI. Um, for those that don’t might not be aware, True Trading Group is not just a chat room with courses and trade alerts, TTGAI is an entire ThinTech platform with trading software for retail traders that gives them a distinct advantage over other traders that don’t have access to the tools, resources, data, and analytics that we have within our systems. TTG has received the global benzinga fintech award for best AI analysis tool. We have working partnerships with the NASDAQ, benzinga, openai, data bento, unusual whales and and run pod and some others. Okay, this is what allows us to these relationships with these companies is what’s allowed us to build out the platform that we have. This is an award-winning platform, folks, that’s built on experience and and education with strategies that are proven through success. It’s not just me. There’s seven other professional traders that are mods at True Trading Group that share their screen, that trade with you live, that answer questions, provide market commentary and analysis, of course, tell you where we’re getting in, where we’re getting out, um, and and trade in front of you live each and every single day. Um, now, if you’re wondering maybe why should you listen to any of the things that I talk about on this YouTube channel, it’s not because I claim to be the world’s greatest trader. I don’t think that I am. I’m a damn good one, okay? I had been doing this almost 20 years, 19 years in counting. Um, I got my start working at a hedge fund in New York City, my very first job right out of college, T3 Alpha Fund. While there, they had me go through a training program before they let me touch $1 of the firm’s money. Okay? And then shortly after that, you had actually the great recession, the big stock market crash, 2008. And that year is the same year that I received one of the firms trader of the year awards. Now I’ve gone on to start True Trading Group and with between myself and my my business partner Adam, we’ve built out True Training Group now to have 11,000 users in 114 different countries. We have over 30 employees. Um, and something that we are incredibly proud of is the retention rate that we have amongst our members. And the retention rate meaning by how many people once they join your trading group, they actually stay. They stay here. they be or they become lifetime members and they’re here logging on to the platform five, six years later. And that’s a testament to just how damn good this platform actually is. And when I say good, I don’t just mean it looks nice. When I say good, I mean that it actually produces results. And by results, I actually mean that our members make money. That’s why we have a retention rate that’s in the mid70s. That’s why we have a refund rate at True Training Group that is less than 2 and a.5%. Okay? And you shouldn’t just believe me just because I say these things to just because I have a I’m some guy on a YouTube channel. It’s got a cool painting hanging over his head. You shouldn’t just believe me because I say that. You should believe these things because members will actually tell you themselves that they’re the ones that they are making money and they’re becoming better traders. And I’ll just I’ll prove it to you. Let me let’s ask. Right? We have a lot of people that are on our live stream right now. Members of True Trading Group, okay, members of TTJ, if you’re on this platform right now, I’m sorry, sorry. If you’re on this live stream right now, I want you to do me a favor. Type the number one in chat right now. If you’re making money, you guys are becoming better traders because of TTG. Best platform I have been on and I have tried a lot of them, says Mikos. Uh, Reboot Jones says, “I’m not going anywhere.” So, yeah, those of you that are not members, you can pay attention to how many people you’re about to see typed in the bottom. These are members of True Trading Group that are sitting here telling you that they’re making money with this platform. Okay? And if they can do this, then so can you. There’s absolutely no reason why all these people can sit here and tell you that this is working for them. They’re successful. And you can’t. They’re not luckier than you. And they sure as hell do not have more time than you. 82% of our members have a full-time job. So if they can do this, then so can you. Okay? We have construction workers. We have truck drivers. You know, it’s like a truck driver. Really? So that’s on the road 12 hours a day. sometimes 14 hours a day on the road. What is your excuse? What is your excuse? Some somebody, you know, hauling a big rig halfway across the country for 14 hours. They can do this. I’m telling you guys, so can you. Okay. Uh Ahmad Ellien says, “I’m here forever.” Jennifer, how are you, Jennifer? Four years going. Antoine Benjamin’s been here for four years, right? just this is what I’m talking about like that that’s that’s what that’s how I I know that the things that we have works for members because I listen I know it works for me I trade with all these things on a on a regular basis like the the entire TG terminal the entire TG system all the tools the resources the software I use it every day so it’s helped me in my trading statistics and here let me ask think about this for one second I want you guys just just think about a couple of questions I’m going to ask And then we’re going to dive in. I have one, two, three, four, five, six stocks on my watch list to start off this week. My trade ideas that we’re going to really be be getting into. Um, sea trader is a ship captain. Literally trading at sea. He trades at sea. That’s nuts. I just signed up last week. Great first week. Yes. 2448. Todd says, “I just signed up last week.”
Hell yeah. Uh Marissa Safa says, “I paid $90 for three months. I didn’t get any recommendation.” I I don’t know what you’re talking about. Then you you didn’t log into the platform. So So you signed up for a trial and then you obviously never logged into the platform. Did you think that we were just gonna like call you and be like, “Hey, listen.” Like did you think I’m just going to call your phone and be like, “Hey, listen, man. I just bought this stock. You should probably you should probably do the same. We give we give alerts every single day inside of True Trading Group. And if you have the mobile app, you download the mobile app. When you guys sign up, you actually get push notifications sent to your cell phone every single time one of our moderators enters or exits a position. This way, you’re never going to miss anything, right? You’re never going to miss anything. So, obviously, you haven’t just lo you just haven’t logged into the platform. So, I can’t help you. If you’re not going to use, right, if you’re not going to use the thing that you sign up for, I can’t help you. Okay. But we give multiple several trade alerts literally every single day. We scalp, we day trade, we swing trade, we cover long-term portfolio investments as well. You guys are notified whenever I make a move in my long-term portfolio. And you obviously you’re notified whenever the moderators and I um enter a day trade, a swing trade, whatever it is. Okay. Um but you can see a lot of these comments that are coming through inside of chat here. Almost eight years. This place is awesome. My boy Jackal Trades. Um, thanks to TTG, I’m able to enjoy retirement more comfortably while beating all the indexes by double digits. My boy Bert, how are you, brother? Hope Hawaii is treating you well. Lifetime member there for Fly Shack. See trader trades from their phone when they’re out to sea. That’s amazing. Um, I’m trading on vacation as we speak. Fully paid for by TTG Profits. Bid by Nachi. I love to see that. I love to see that. That’s really what it’s all about, right? I mean the reason why so many people want to trade is so that you can do this on your own like on your own time really you know it’s that that’s the thing everybody we trade because yes we want to make money but really what we seek is our time and and to be able to spend it the way that we want to spend it. So Fit by Nachi brother you enjoy okay you enjoy that vacation we all know that you have earned it. My boy Von Serno says I’m a painter and I closed a position on top of a 32 foot ladder. Van, be careful, man. Please be careful up there on a 32 foot ladder. The position could have waited, okay? Please be safe, man. But but this is the point, right? You see all these numbers. You see all the things that they’re saying. This guy’s closing a position from on top of a of a 32 foot ladder. Somebody’s trading on vacation. Somebody else is uh is trading while they’re a sea captain, you know, out in the middle of the ocean somewhere. It it my point is the platform that is True Trading Group. Okay. The platform that is your training group gives you tools and resources that allow you to live your life the way that you want. You can trade and invest like it is your full-time job, but you can live life like it isn’t. And that’s really what this platform is all about. So, let me ask you just a couple of questions and then we’re going to dive into my watch list and we’re going to go over the overall market and what I think is going to happen here this week. We’ll do a quick check on futures are still up about a quarter point. We’re just right off the the highs of the session. Um, we’ll talk about that. Oh, I’m in the hospital right now, says Antoine watching the live stream. Well, Antoine, I hope it’s nothing serious, brother. I hope you’re you’re doing okay. Um I really do. I hope that you’re doing okay. Um I really do. Um so, hope it’s nothing serious. Hope you get well soon, man. All right. Uh yeah, disabled day trader. I actually know exactly who who that is. Um happy that we’re able to just kind of help uh help any way that we can. Yeah.
Good. Yeah. Saying prayers there, disabled trader. Saying some prayers. All right. So, here here’s here’s a couple of questions. Okay. Those of you that are maybe not members of your trading group that are watching this live stream, I’m talking to you right now kind of specifically. Uh your husband’s your husband’s scan was was clear. Oh, that’s such great news. Uh, that person’s husband is actually is has been fighting cancer. Oh, that’s such great news that your husband’s skin was clear for now. Oh, that’s such great news. God bless. I hope it stays that way. I hope it stays that way. Love you, fam. Lifetime TGD life. Oh, yes. Yes. That’s great news. That is great news. Hope it stays that way. So, let me ask a couple of questions. Those of you that are not members, okay, if you had and you don’t have I mean you can answer in chat, right? And you know what members too I’m you know this is for everybody. These questions are for everybody. Okay, question for everybody. So you guys can just answer yes or no. If you had a software, okay, let’s say, are you someone that feel like you know what stock you want to trade, but you don’t quite know where to get in and where to get out and where to set your stop loss, right? How many people, okay, by a quick show of hands, have at some point felt, you can just say me or you just or just don’t comment if it’s not you. How many people have at some point felt I know what I want to trade, but I’m not quite sure where to get in. I’m not quite sure where to take profit and I’m not quite sure where to set my stop loss. Type the number one or type me or whatever it is. If you have been in that position at some point before it, I want to trade Tesla, but I’m not quite sure where to get in. I’m not quite sure where to take profit. I’m not quite sure where to put my stop loss. How many people have gone through that before? Right? How many people have gone through that? Look, a lot of people are say me, me, me, right? Perfect. Okay, so a lot a lot of you. What if you had a tool that is based on that is an algorithm. Okay, this is not just a piece of AI. This is an actual algorithm that’s based on my strategies and my my rule sets and my analysis that gives you and generates for you an actual trading plan that says to you, this is where to get in. This is where to put your stop-loss. This is where to take profit. This is how many contracts or shares that you should buy based on your risk. And this is the confidence score. in that trade plan itself. Do you feel yes or no? Do you feel like if you had a tool that did that for you? Do you feel like that would be helpful in your trading and let’s say this tool has about a 70% 71% win rate? Do you feel like that would be helpful? Brad, if you if you have it, maybe we can pull it up real quick. I could just show people the tool real quick, guys, because like I said, I want to get into, you know, I don’t want to take up too much of your time. I want to get into the watch list and and and all the stocks we’re going to trade this week and how we plan on making money, right? But here here’s our trade plan generator. We call it the holy grail. All you need to do is select what type of security you want to trade. You want to trade a stock, an option, a futures contract, or a crypto. Okay, for this just put equities. And then we’ll just do the spy. And then you put in the ticker symbol. So you put you type in in this case stock or you trade options, you would put in options. And then what ticker symbol you want to trade. We’ll just put the spy. You type in the size of your account. How much you want to risk on the trade. And then your trading style. You want to do a scalp. That’s going to be a trade that lasts a few minutes. A day trade. Trade that lasts a few hours. A swing trade trade that lasts a few days. Or a long-term hold. The trade that lasts several weeks to several months. And then you just click run analysis. That’s it. You wait about 30 seconds.
And then you’re going to get a trade plan that’s going to generate for you with a confidence score.
This is 80% deterministic. Deterministic means it is rules-based. There’s an actual algorithm that’s behind this. And then there’s a 20% AI interpretation of data and AI analysis of data layered on top of it. And this is what gives you back a full detailed trading plan. So you wait just a couple more seconds. It takes about 30 seconds to generate the report. And here you guys have it. So this is what the report looks like. The very top you get a summary with direction, confidence score, and a trigger on when to enter the trade. And then as you scroll down, you’ll see all the details, okay? You’ve got different agents, technical analysis agent, macro agent, risk agent. They all, you know, do their own job. And as you scroll, you can read the summary of those different agents. And as you scroll down, it gives you the entry. It gives you your position size. It gives you your stop-loss. It gives you multiple profit targets. All with a confidence score on the plan. You guys can go through and you can read this in depth. The analysis on the entry point is actually very specific. It gives you price action that would trigger the entry. It gives you price action that you should avoid entering the position if you see it. It’s a fantastic tool. Right now, the win rate on this tool, our members have generated around 800,000 trading plans with this tool thus far. And the win rate on this is just around 70%. It’s unbelievable tool. But this is something that you guys could get access to on the TTG platform that gives you a distinct advantage in edge that can help you improve a lot of different areas. Then something else to think about, how many of you and this you guys can type the number one, you can say me. How many of you think that your idea win rate is higher than your executed win rate? Meaning like if you said, “Hey, if I gave you a hundred different stocks to look at,” and you said, “Tell me which one’s going to go up, which one’s going to go down.” And you said, “Hey, here’s a hundred different stocks.” How many of you feel like your accuracy on picking the direction of the stock is higher than your actual executed win rate? So, you might say, “My ideas are right 62% of the time, but my win rate is only 51%.” Type the number one or say me or whatever if that is you. How many of you feel like your ideal win rate is higher than your actual executed win rate?
Real quick show of hands. You can look at 10 stocks and you can say, “I think this one’s going to go up. This one’s going to go up. This one’s going to go down.” And you’re going to get six or seven of them right? But then when you actually make the trades, four winners, six losers, right? Look, a lot of you, a lot of people typed in number one. You’ve all been there. Now, the reason for that is because of lack of discipline and mental and psychological issues. It could be lack of confidence, so you don’t enter when you when you said you’re supposed to enter. There could be fear of losing money, so you exit your position prematurely even though the setup is purely is still fully intact. There could be an element of greed where you don’t take profit where you’re supposed to and you think the stock’s going to go higher. It ends up reversing. This is all of the things, right? These are all of the things that could be potential reasons on why your idea win rate is much higher than your actual executed win rate. Well, what if I told you, do you think you say yes or no? Do you think having a system, having an AI that can actually connect into your brokerage account where you can tell it, hey, if Tesla gets to $375, I want to buy some call options. You know, you determine the stop-loss and the profit targets. You know, my risk is whatever your risk is. my risk is 500 bucks per trade, you know, and and you can just give the AI that instruction and then you can just go about your business, go about your day, go to work, go to the gym, whatever it is. And if Tesla goes down to get goes down to 375, this is going to execute. It’s going to buy call options for you. And then when Tesla starts to work in your favor, it’s going to take profit for you. It’s going to move your stop loss up to protect that profit. Then it’s going to keep going. It’ll take profit for you again at that second take-profit target. and it’s going to report back to you, let you know, hey, just so you know, this is how that trade went. If you had a tool and you had a system that was capable of doing that for you, that it can go, you can say, hey, here’s my ideas. You go ahead and trade them for me. Do you think that that’s going to help you become a better trader? Do you think that’s going to improve on your trading results and your trading statistics? Yes or no?
Real serious question. Do you think that that would help you? Yes or no?
Because we have that at True Trading Group. It’s called Active Trader. It’s our highest most premier piece of AI tool that we have on the entire platform. It is unbelievable. I was on a Google meet the other day with my business partner because we were on a a Google Meet call with one of our AI vendors. We’ve actually been investing a lot of money as a company into building out our own AI infrastructure. We we actually serve our own inference at Trinity Group. We have our own model, Mari. We don’t just use, you know, it’s when you guys use Mari, Mari is literally our own model and we serve our own inference. We’ve, you know, basically just built out all of our own infrastructure so that we can control cost more. We’re not relying on other companies. Um, it’s a very heavy investment, but it’s well worth it because the results that we see from our members and we’re going to continue to be at the forefront of this revolution when it comes to, you know, implementing AI into active trading. We’re not just talking about AI giving you a summary of an earnings statement or reading a balance sheet for you. Um, there any there’s a dime a dozen these AIs out there that can analyze a company’s financial statement and tell you if it’s a good stock to buy or not. That’s not what we’re talking about. Yes, our stuff can do that. But what we’re talking about is hey you know Nvidia just has a double bottom at the prior day high and you know the trade line VW cross is coming up and you know right at the 50 Fibonacci level and this looks like a really great place to buy some call options and you know your stop loss I would have put my stop loss there and move your stop loss maybe this area make sure that it’s you know give the trade room that it needs like hey watch out for that volume increase like that that is the type of stuff that we’re talking about our stuff is really engaged here active trading and there’s nothing out there on the market like it. I was on that Google meet and I knew I wasn’t going to be really focused on the markets. I actually gave um the other week and our all of our members can vouch for this. I don’t want you guys to think that I’m just like telling you a make believe story. All our members can vouch for this but I gave Mari that’s our model that was inside of my Ninja Trader account because it’s where I trade my futures. I trade futures inside of Ninja Trader and I gave it very clear specific instructions on where I want to go long on the S&P futures if price got into that zone and I said listen I want if we get here I want you to go long I want here’s here’s my profit targets here’s my stop loss and I was on my Google meet and while I’m on my Google meet I hear order filled which is the a the audio notification from Ninja Trader and I was like oh my order just filled and this thing actually was able to rip out 15 points and 20 points on my two take profits on the trade and I was only risking like eight or nine points um on the trade entirely. So I was risking around eight or nine points I think it was yeah I think it was nine points it was either eight or nine I don’t exactly remember and we were able to pull out 15 points and 20 points on a two take profits um and and then it exited me out of the position all while I was on my Google Meet and I never would have been able to have made that money if I did not have this system. So, it’s an unbelievable thing to do. Um, and it removes all of your emotions and all of your your lack of confidence and your fear and your greed. It removes all of it from the trading equation. And it just allows you to follow your actual ideas. And it can even give you trade ideas yourself. But you can, you know, if you you can give it the trade idea, you can have it generate the trade idea for you and it can execute the trades on your behalf. It’s an unbelievable tool. It’s unbelievable system. I’ve been using it now for a while and I recommend it for everybody. But these are the things that make the difference. This is what I mean by this is a fintech platform with trading software for retail traders that gives you a real edge over others. That’s why our members are so successful. When I asked before how many people are making money, you saw how many people commented. It’s not because I’m the world’s greatest trader. I would love to say all these people are killing it because I’m the best trader in the world. That’s not the case. I’ve never said that. I never will say that. These people are making so much money. They’re doing so well and they’re so consistent and they’re becoming more profitable because the systems and the tools that they have access to allow them to make better, smarter, faster decisions. Period. That’s the real reason. I’m being dead honest with you. Now, those of you that are not members, real quick, if you guys are not a member, you want to try out some of these systems, you guys can join our 90-day trial. You guys can use it. Okay? I don’t We put our money where our mouth is at True Trading Group, okay? We literally invest to let you try these things out because I believe once you try them, you’re going to want to stay with us for the full year. Okay? So, we have a trial program that we let you guys use. All of our AI tools are AI usage based. So, um we’re going to lose money during those 90 days for a trial member to actually use some of these systems, but we’re going to charge you $1 a day. So, it’s 90 days for 90 bucks, which we’re you’re going to use more than $1 of AI usage. Like, we’re going to lose money on you. But that’s that’s okay. I don’t mind doing it because I believe that once you try our stuff, you’re going to stay for the full year. And it just is a smart business decision. If our stuff is as good as I say that it is, then I should have no problem letting you actually use it for yourself, make money with it, and then come tell me I’m lying. Okay? So, anyone that’s not a member, you guys can go ahead. You can go to trueterraininggroup.com990. We just posted the link in chat. You guys can go sign up for the trial there. Or you can send us a text message if you need any help. If you have any questions, there’s a phone number at the bottom of your screen, 1888-621-2127. Text that number if you guys need any help at all whatsoever. Okay. Again, that is 1888-621-2127.
And yes, for all of our members, okay, for all of our members that are asking, our AI system went down over the weekend because we are making a massive upgrade to the entire system. We bought all new AI infrastructure. We bought some new Nvidia cards. We’ve got a new deal set up with RunPod. We’ve got a whole new internal AI infrastructure system. And everything is being transitioned over to that new platform. There’s upgrades coming to literally every single tool that we have. So, right now, the only tool that’s live at this moment is that holy grail trade plan generator, the Mari model, the active trader system, the AI charting software, the LLM, all of these things, okay? Or the TTGLM, not LLM, um, which is our educational portal. Um, that stuff is still down right now at 8:47 p.m. Eastern Standard on this Sunday. So, just to, you know, I see a bunch of people are asking, “Is it back up? Is it back up? Is it back up?” Um, it goes to show you how good this stuff is that everyone’s like, “Is it back? Is it back? Is it back?” Because they really want to use it again, right? And that’s how I feel that you guys are not members. You guys come join as a trial. That’s how excited I think you’re going to be to want to use these things going forward. I think you’re never going to want to trade with them ever again because I’ve been trading for almost 20 years and I am and now I implement these things into my trading on a daily basis. I think you guys are going to absolutely love it. Go to shtrading.com990.
You can trade with me and the rest of the moderators live for 90 days. You can use our tools and some of our systems for 90 days and uh let us let us put our money where our mouth is. Let us prove to you that these things can actually help improve your trading results. Okay? Text that number at the bottom of the screen if you guys need any help. With that said, let’s take things on over to the chats, as our Boston members would say. Take it to the chats. Okay, I’m not from Boston in case you can’t tell. But I still love all of our Boston members. Okay, we can my Boston my Boston members and my New York members, we can all just sulk in misery this year from just a horrible postseason experience for Red Sox fans and for Yankee fans. my I’m putting all my faith in the Brewer. I’m a Brewers fan now. I’m rooting for the Brewers now. I was rooting for the White Socks. They got knocked out. I don’t like I don’t like Cleveland either. So, I’m uh I And I really don’t like the Dodgers. So, I’m I’m rooting for the Brewers. Let’s go Milwaukee. Miserowski. Let’s go.
Let’s go. All right. Let’s go Miz. Anyway, all right. Let’s take things on over to the charts, folks. Let’s talk about it. Futures are up quarter point. Um, so we are kind of starting off here with a little bit of strength. Let’s go over what I think about the markets here this week. I There’s absolutely no reason. There’s just nothing on this chart that tells me to go short. Um,
there just isn’t. There’s nothing on this chart that tells me to go short. So, the way that I see it, we’re either looking at an extended period of consolidation or we’re looking at an extension through the high. I don’t think we’re looking at a total reversal. Now, what would need to happen for me to think we look for a total reversal? You would need to see oil prices maybe skyrocket. You’d probably need to see bond yields continue to skyrocket again. You’d probably need bank earnings that are coming up this week to really disappoint. I think you would need the CPI data to come in higher than expected. Those are things that you’re going to need to see happen in order for the market to give you a complete turnaround reversal back to the downside. So, I’m not necessarily coming into this week looking for shorts unless bank earnings completely disappoint. And you have a couple of really important actually AI pieces to this mix as well. You have Taiwan Semi reporting earnings this week. You have ASML reporting earnings this week. two incredibly important pieces to the AI trade. Okay, ASML makes some commercial uh grade machinery that they are literally only company in the world that can make these machines at scale. They are incredible important piece to kind of the AI supply chain. And then you have Taiwan Semi which actually manufactures and makes the cards that a lot of these um semicer companies design okay like Nvidia and AMD and all these other companies but Taiwan Semite actually makes a lot of these chips. So this is going to be a really important week for earnings. JP Morgan, Bank of America, City Croup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, ASML, Taiwan Semi. What would make me say, okay, let’s turn around, flip and go short. Is if you started to get some really bad earnings from these companies. Okay, that is where Hey, Omega Fund says, hi, can I join? Absolutely. Go to truerading.com990. You can join our system for 90 days for just 90 bucks. Try us out. And then after those 90 days, you have the opportunity to, well, you don’t have to wait 90 days. You can join an annual membership on your second day if you would like, but you have a 90-day trial to try everything out. And I think that’s plenty of time for you to use our systems, use our tools, trade with our community, and see if it’s going to help you make some money. And if it does, you’re going to want to join for the full year. You don’t have to wait the 90 days to join for the full year. Most of our members don’t. Most of our members end up joining within the first 30 days because they realize that they just the tools are amazing. The training community is fantastic. They’re making a bunch of money. They’ve made enough money to cover the membership already. So, they use that and usually end up, you know, joining for the full year. Um, so you can go to truerainggroup.com990 or you’ve got the phone number at the bottom left of your screen. If you have any questions or if you need any help, you can send a text that number and we’ll help you out any way that we can. All right. So really important earnings this week. We it starts off on Tuesday with the banks and JP Morgan and and the rest. Um so if those disappoint and and we’ll start to look for for short side because don’t forget the whole reason why the market has been able to make new all-time highs in the face of rising bond yields and high oil prices is because earnings have been amazing. If that for some reason is I don’t have any reason to believe the earnings are not going to be good, but I’m just telling you if they are not good, then I would say okay, be careful. Maybe a failed break out to the all-time high and we look for a pullback back into the 760s, maybe even 750s if earnings are bad. Okay, but without that being the case, I’m looking for either continuation to the upside or a consolidation here right underneath that all-time high. Okay? I’m not looking for a short side on the overall market. I think the way for you guys to play this is you look for there to be support. Um if we look at we take this intraday and we start to look at some levels here intraday. I think you got a decent level here on 777 77 excuse me 77750
I think you had a decent spot there. Okay. I think 777 to 77750 I think is a decent area. I think you guys can look for that to be support on any pullbacks. we are uh a little higher than that right now. Like I said, we are uh 0 2% um up right now on futures. So, I’d say look for that area to be an area of support and then see if you get a little bit of a bump from there. Um but I think as it stands right now, you might be better off trading some individual stocks until we get some of these catalysts out of the way. Um, I don’t know how much directional momentum that the S&P is going to have prior to CPI data, prior to the bank earnings. So, Monday, I would start off probably not trading the overall index. I’d wait for Tuesday, Wednesday to start trading the index. Once you start to see the bank earnings and once we get the CPI data, then I think you’ll have much more directional momentum on the index and that’s when I would start trading S&P futures. You can trade NASDAQ futures, whatever it is, whatever floats your boat, tickles your pickle, doesn’t matter to me. I’m going to be trading the S&P futures, but I would probably wait until at least Tuesday, probably Wednesday until you get some of those catalyst out of the way, and then we can look for some directional momentum from there on the index level. Let’s talk about some individual stocks that we’ve got um on the list. First up is going to be Amazon. I kind of like what I saw here from Amazon on Friday. We had a nice resistance level at 260 that we just broke above. Um, and that break seems to be with with conviction. And if you guys take a look at my screen right now, you’ll see this 260 level. You have this double top resistance on Wednesday and Thursday. You have another double top resistance here earlier in the month of September. And you have another double top resistance right there in early September. And then you have the gap fill, okay, from the last trading day of August. So, a lot of structure right there around 260. And on Friday, we broke above that level and closed above it with a nice extension through. So what we are going to do now is we are going to look for this zone to now become support. And any pullback into the low 260s, 260 to 261, we are going to look for that area to become support. And we are going to look for Amazon to continue to push to the upside. Okay? So we’re look for Amazon to do something that looks like this. The target on this is going to be resistance to 266. Okay? 266 resistance. You guys can see that is right there. Okay. So, we’re looking for a long around 261ish, a stop loss, I would say probably at 259 and a target of 266. That is going to be Amazon. We’re going to start that one off front and center, kind of center screen. I like that one going into this week. Then, we’re going to take a peek on over here at Salesforce. Um, I kind of think that Salesforce has potential to give your pop and make a run back to the high 230s. Uh, and the reason for that is because a previous level that was massive support for Salesforce is now re-engaged and is now reconfirming and reestablishing support. So you can see on Thursday, Wednesday, Tuesday, low of the day, support at in the low 220s. September 28th, support there in the low 220s. But now look what happens as I zoom all the way out. Okay, look at what happens here as I zoom all the way out. What you notice is this level used to be a huge level of support for Salesforce. Okay? This used to be a massive level of support for Salesforce in 2024. In 2025, in January of 2026, you broke underneath it. Stock sold off. You had the huge gap up on earnings in the end of August. Shot all the way up above that level. You’ve pulled back in and now you are double bottoming back at that level as it is reestablishing it as support. What I am looking for now, you also have this dark blue line. This dark blue line is the 50-day moving average. Okay. This is the 50-day moving average. Okay.
And I just feel like as long as you’re above this level, we have to look for Salesforce to climb up to climb back and get off of this support zone. I like the resistance level. You have a nice little pivot zone here at 240. Okay, you have a nice little pivot zone here at 240. I like the long here. Your stop loss is down there in the low 220s. If you don’t want to give it all the way down to the low 220s, I understand. And I would probably say you could probably have a stop loss maybe around somewhere between 225 and 227 depending on where we actually get into the position. I have to see what the stock looks like tomorrow morning. If it’s gapping up tomorrow morning, I like the aggressive long. If it’s gapping down, be more patient. Make sure that 50-day moving average is support. Watch for a red to green move, then take the long. I would not instantly take the long on a gap down. But if if we get a nice gap up tomorrow, let’s say we open up at 230, I like the aggressive entry for the long. Okay, that is Salesforce, ticker symbol CRM.
Continuing on on stocks that have just been unbelievably strong, Madna. Oh my goodness. Um Madna has given us two of our biggest trades. Um, as of late, we’ve been in two swing trade. Over this the last two months, we’ve been in two swing trades on Madna. Both of them were monster wins. You’re talking 500% gain on the call options. Huge trades. Um, and it still looks amazing. I’m not in it anymore, but it still looks amazing. And we broke through resistance here at around 210. We had this double top resistance at 210. really strong massive break breakout candle there on Friday. We’re going to look for that 210 area to be support. Any pullback that takes you back into the low teens, the low teens, we look for this zone in here to be support for an entry with a stop loss around 208. And just see if we continue to ride the momentum there. That is Madna. Keeping with this same theme, the breakout through resistance and the and the entry long on the retest. Keeping with that theme, we’re going to move on over to Snowflake. Snowflake, huge resistance level here at 348 to 350. We broke through that level here on Friday. An unbelievable, massively strong candle. Now, I’m going to give you this as a trade idea, but this is not a trade that’s probably going to happen this week. It’s certainly not a trade that’s going to happen on Monday. And it’s just I just want to bring this to your attention because that 350 break was really significant. At some point, if you see Snowflake back into that level, I do believe it’s a safe place to take a long, but this stock exploded through that level up 8% on Friday. Stocks all the way up at 369, far away from your 350, 348 zone. So, I don’t know if you’re going to really get, you know, I don’t think you’re going to get an entry back to 350 tomorrow. You know, maybe it happens in a couple of weeks, but just draw this line across your screen. It was a really big level um there for Snowflake and you finally broke through it on Friday with a really strong breakout candle. Big surge in volume, big strong breakout, engulfing candle. I mean, this is just as good as it gets. So, just use that level as an entry maybe on a on a pullback back out into that level. Hey, I caught that snow that snow trade live with Mike on Friday. He called it out of 350. Yes, we certainly did call it there. Missile Anglewood. I’d love to see it. Love to see it. So, that snowflake. All right. Now let’s go on over to some of the short side of things. We are looking at a couple of shorts. CBRS Cerebras or Cabras. You have a very big support level here in the low60s on CBRS. If this level breaks, I think the stock is going to be in a little bit of trouble. Um, so here’s you guys can see the support level on CBRS
and you’re finally getting a pullback on semiconductors after the report, the OpenAI report. So on Thursday, there was a report with OpenAI that their revenue was expected to come in at 68 billion, but only came in at 50. And ever since that report, semiconductors have taken a hit. Nvidia’s been down for the last two days. AMD’s been down for the last two days. You can see Nvidia’s down the last two days. AMD is down the last two days, right? Micron’s down the last two days. Uh ARM ARM is down the last two days. So, you’ve seen some weakness come into the semiconductor space on the back of that report. CBRS is in the semiconductor space. So, if that sector is going to weaken out a little bit, you’re going to get some profit taking in the space. This is a weak stock within a very strong sector. If you look at the SMH, okay, semiconductor ETF, you can see what the stock has done over the course of just this year alone. But then take a look at what CBRS has done since its IPO. Absolutely night and day. Incredible relative weakness for CBRS in the semiconductor space. So if you get a continued pullback in semiconductors on the back of that report with OpenAI, you see weakness on Nvidia, see weakness on AMD, you have to watch CBRS for a break underneath 162. If you break underneath 162, 160 and CBRS with heavy volume, I would short the bounce back to 160. Now, the only thing that I’m going to tell you is that because this is such a big support level, I would make sure that this level actually breaks. Um, I would not necessarily take the trade short into the level. Okay, the bottom of the level is 161. I would want to see this thing probably at 158 159 with heavy volume. Then I would say, okay, on a bounce to 159 160, I’m going short with a stop loss at 162. And I’m going to look for the stock to just continue to fade down into the 150s if we are to get continued weakness on the semiconductor space. Okay. So again, I wouldn’t short into the level like I’m not going to short 161. I’d rather wait, let the level break, let it drop to 158. See that increase in volume to confirm it and then let it bounce 159, 159 and a half, 160, take the short, stop loss 162, let it roll into the 150s. Okay, that’s CBRS. And then sticking with the semic space, we’re going to go back and we’re going to look at AMD. And the reason why we’re going to look at AMD because AMD has two very big levels that I want you to focus on. The biggest of the levels is is 580. The second level is 600. Okay. Now, if you take a look, we’ll do the 600 level first. Low of the day. Low of the day. Low of the day. Low of the day. Low of the day. Okay. Lot of structure there at 600. But then underneath that you have low today on this big gap up and that also lines at 580 and then also lines up with your prior all-time high. Okay? And all these previous all-time highs are in the 570s. So here’s my thought with AMD. If you get continued weakness in semiconductors on the back of the opening eye report and you get continued strength in software because software had a monster week last week. Data Dog, new all-time high. Snowflake, okay, breaking above that that really strong level. Palunteer, new all-time high. Software was absolutely just on fire to kind of finish out the week. Uh, and and semiconductors were selling off. And there’s there’s there’s that inverse correlation between the two. That’s we’ve seen now for the last several months. But if you take a look here at AMD, if you get continued weakness, if AMD breaks 600, your next support is 580. That’s a that’s $20. There’s a lot of money to be made there. Okay. Now, similar with CBRS, I would not go short AMD 605 603 because 600’s a pretty big level and AMD is an incredibly strong stock macro speaking. It’s been weak for two days. It’s been strong for two years, okay? So, let’s not mistake a two-day little pullback with, oh my god, stocks topped out. This thing’s going to roll over now. I’m not saying that at all. I’m just saying if you get continued profit taking on these names from that opening hour report, you could easily see AMD back into the 580s and then find its footing against the previous all-time high and then find support and bounce back. But there’s money to be made there from 600 to 580 if that’s the case. So watch that $600 level like a hawk. If that level breaks, we’re going to look to similar situation to CBRS. If that level breaks, let the bounce back, take the short roll down. So, I’ll look for the break of 600, go down to 590s, bounce back to 596, 97, 98, take the short, stop loss 602, let it roll down to 580. Okay, so to recap, we’re looking at longs on Amazon, Salesforce, Madna, Snowflake, Madna Snowflake, you might not get the entries, right? Those are more levels we need to focus on. Just keep those levels in mind. um AMD, Cerebrris are the stocks we’re looking at for we if there’s weakness, those are names we’re going to look at for the possible short. Okay. And then we’re going to trade the index obviously with all the catalyst that we have coming up this week. But like I said, we’re probably going to wait for um bank earnings to start on Tuesday and we’re going to wait for CPI data. I think CPI data is Tuesday is is Tuesday as well. I believe it’s either Tuesday or Wednesday CPI data. But let’s let those catalysts come out. Then I think the market gives us some directional momentum. We’ll trade the indexes. Then mid midweek and end of the week, we’ll trade the index. Um to start off tomorrow, we’re going to be focused on individual stocks. And obviously for the whole week, we focus on individual stocks for the whole week as well. But I’m saying index midweek to end a week is when we’re going to trade the index. Okay. And that’s it. So there you have it. Now you guys have a better game plan coming into the week. That’s my focus. That’s how I’m going to start things off. I hope you guys enjoyed the stream. If you’re not yet a member, like I said, you guys are more than welcome to come trade with us for 90 days. Try out our trial. You can use some of our systems, use some of our tools. Um, try them out, make money with them, see if they improve your trading. I’m confident they will. That’s why we invest in the money to because we lose money on you when you guys do the trial, but then we make money when you sign up to become a full full-time annual member and use all the tools. Okay? And it’s just a business. It’s good businesses on our part because we believe strongly in the the systems that we have and I feel confident that once you use them, you’re going to want to stay with them. So again, trueing.com/990. Join the trial for 90 days. If you have any questions, do not hesitate. 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