Hey yo, what’s up everybody? What’s going on folks? Welcome to the True Trading Group live stream. I hope you all had a wonderful weekend and are ready to get down to business this week. Yes, we’ve got a short week this week. It’s going to be the July 4th holiday is being recognized on the Friday. So, Friday, the markets are closed. Okay, so we do have a short week. We’re going to have a 4 day trading uh week. We got to make these days count. And I’ve got some important details and information to share with you on what the historical averages are for how the market performs the last couple trading days of June and the first um the first trading week of July because the numbers might surprise you. The numbers might actually shock you on what the statistics are and how the market generally generally performs during that time period. So what’s up? Welcome everybody to the True Trading Group live stream. My name is Michael Edward Parinati. I go by Michael Edward. I’m the co-founder and head trader at True Trading Group. Thrilled to have you guys all with us here tonight. You understand that this place, True Trading Group, we are not just a chat room with trade alerts and courses. We are an entire fintech platform when trading software for retail traders. It gives them a distinct advantage and edge over other retail traders who do not have access to the same tools, resources, data, and analytics that we have on the platform that is the TTG terminal. This company exists to help you to learn faster, trade smarter, and profit sooner. It’s what we’re going to do here tonight of this live stream. I want to give a shout out and give a thank you to our partners. We are very proud to be powered by the NASDAQ, Benzingga, OpenAI, DataBento, and Unusual Wales. You see, True Training Group is an award-winning platform. We actually received the Benzinga Fintech award for best AI analysis tool. This is a platform that’s built on education, backed by experience, strategies proven through success. It is myself and seven other professional traders that are full-time mods at True Trading Group that share their screens with you, trade in front of you live, answer questions, call out their market commentary and analysis each and every single day from pre-market all the way through into the close. And the tools that we have created on this platform are completely proprietary tools that are actually customized to you, the individual user. Okay, we have invested very heavily into building out this AI powered platform that includes tools, resources, data, and analytics that our members have access to through, you know, the partnerships or through what we’ve been able to create through the partnerships from the companies that I just named to you. Um, this company and this platform is truly at the forefront of the AI integration into retail trading and finance investments and it’s the biggest reason why so many of our members have such an incredibly high success rate. members at True Trading Group actually stay with True Trading Group after they join at a 75% clip. That is an incredibly high retention rate. And that is because the majority of our members, they actually do have success when they join the platform. And as much as I would love to tell you that the reason that they are successful is because I’m the world’s greatest trader. That is just simply not the case. I’m a damn good trader. I’m not the world’s greatest, okay? I don’t have a 100% win rate, right? But I’ve been doing this for 19 years. I began my trading career working at T3 Alpha Fund in New York City. my first job at a college, they had me go through a training program before they let me touch $1 of the funds money. And then shortly after that, we had the great recession, the big stock market crash of 2008. And then fast forward now, I’m the co-founder and head trader at True Trading Group. And that was actually 2008. That was actually the same year that I received one of the firms, Trader of the Year awards. Um, so I was very fortunate and lucky that I did not have to I didn’t have to learn this by watching YouTube videos. I have to learn this by sitting in Discords. I was able to be trained actually by professionals on Wall Street. So, I was very fortunate in that regard that I got really a head start and I didn’t have to go through a lot of the growing pains, the trial and errors that a lot of traders go through when they’re trying to sit through hours upon hours of of YouTube videos. So, with that being said, I’m glad to have you guys here on this YouTube video with me and hope you guys are subscribing to the channel. um you know, smash that like button, show him some love, turn on your notifications, make sure you guys never miss out on any of these live streams because we’re dropping golden nuggets on a regular basis. My boy JS Zafrron says, “A life-changing group, a life-changing technology, positivity, and help all around.” Julie, how are you? Julie says, “TD is where traders come to learn, improve, and trade with more confidence through real-time education, practical strategy, and discipline risk management. It’s not about chasing trades. I love that. Just a couple of comments there from actual members of True Trading Group. Um, and I, you know, I mentioned to you before about members of your trading group having such an incredibly high success rate. Uh, and what I mean by success rate. I’m actually talking about making money. Okay? Members of your trading group um do very well. Members of your trading group, you know, when I say do well, I actually mean that they make money. You shouldn’t just believe me because I say that on a YouTube channel. You should believe me because other members of Trinity will tell you the exact same thing. And if you guys I’ll just I’ll just prove it to you right here, right now. Those of you that are members of TTG, if you are a member, type the number one in chat right now. If you guys are making money, you’re becoming better traders because of True Trading Group because of this platform, because of these tools, the TTG terminal, everything that we have here to offer. If you are making money, go ahead and type the number one in chat right now. And for the people that are on this live stream that might not be familiar with myself or your training group as a whole, okay? Um, pay attention to how many people you see type number one in chat right now. These members that you’re seeing type number one, these are your friends, your family members, your co-workers. These are members of True Training Group. These are people that were once in your exact same position, sitting on the sidelines, not not part of the community, not part of the platform, no access to the tools and resources that we have, but you’re sitting here on a YouTube stream and you’re watching trying to figure out, yeah, you know what, maybe does this guy really know what he’s talking about? Do I really think I can make money by being part of this group? They were once in your exact same position. Now they are part of the group and they’ve been part of the group for many years. We have a retention rate in the mid70s. We have a refund rate that is actually less than two and a half%.
That’s that’s how you know that a platform is a legitimate one through the success of the actual members that are a part of it. Not even necessarily through the success of the the head trader, so to speak. Like I’m not I’m not just going to come on this live stream and I’m going to show you guys a bunch of, you know, screenshots of my account and show you my P&L and be like, “Hey, look how much money I made. Therefore, you should join.” Because just because I make money doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re going to make money. If I don’t put you guys if if when I say I, I mean we as a platform and as a company, if we don’t put you guys in the best possible position to make money, it doesn’t matter if you guys see me make money or see any one of the other seven professional traders that are part of the comm that are part of the the platform that are moderators. If you see them make money, many of you have probably been part of other groups in the past that have seen the the traders that are part of that group. You’ve seen them make money, but that did not translate to profits for you. And that’s because you may not have time to sit in front of computer screen for six, seven, eight hours a day and stare at charts and screeners and scanners and trade with complete 100% focus because all of you have lives. All of you have lives. All of you have other things to do. Many of you have have a job or you have family or friends or kids or whatever it is that takes up the majority of your day. You either can’t sit in front of computer screen all day or you don’t want to sit in front of computer screen all day and I completely feel you on that. I really truly genuinely do. So just because you see somebody else make money doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to translate to you. So the most important thing is not whether or not a a tra one particular trader that you’re looking at or you’re trying to follow on social media on YouTube makes money. What matters is does the people that are actually part of that platform, do they make money? because that’s what translates into your success. Doesn’t matter how much money that I made because not one dollar of what I make is going to go towards paying your bills and that’s what you guys are all here for. You’re here to make money. You’re here to supplement your income or you guys are here to replace your income altogether which is a goal that a lot of people have is to one day do this full-time. And I’m here to tell you that that’s not easy. It’s not an easy goal to accomplish. You’re not going to do it in 30 or 60 days, okay? But it certainly is a possible one. We have plenty of members in your trading group that started out as um when they first joined they they had a job and now they’re actually full-time traders. Plenty. Okay. Plenty of people that have been able to do that. So, it’s possible. Yes, it genuinely truly is. But, you know, I think there’s also something to be said though about what it is that you guys are really kind of searching for. Everybody wants to make more money, but money is just a tool. I think what we all really want is we want to really spend our time the way that we truly and genuinely want. That’s what I really think it is. I just think it’s a matter of, you know, everybody wants to make more money, but it’s it’s really because you want to be able to do whatever you want with the time that you have. You want to go where you want. You want to spend time with whoever you want. You don’t want to be stuck behind a computer screen. And that takes me to something that I’m going to talk to you guys about today because we have a lot to talk about tonight. I’m in a lot of different positions. I have, I think, four open positions right now that we got into last week that we’re going to be talking about. We’re going to go over with you guys. Um, it is a short week. I’m going to tell you exactly what I think the markets are going to do this week. We only have four days to um to focus on here this week because Fridays the markets are closed for the observance of the July 4th holiday. Um, so we got four days and we got to make them count. And jammed in the middle of all those four days is an incredible amount of economic data. We’re getting all the jobs data. getting job openings, you’re going to get the employment numbers. So, there’s going to be a lot of information that’s going to be coming out. You also have Kevin W is going to be speaking at an economic um conference. So, you know, his comments are going to be scrutinized after the Fed meeting that we just had a couple weeks ago. So, there’s going to be a lot of market moving events this week and there’s going to be lower levels of liquidity, which typically we’ll see when the markets pick direction. When there is low liquidity, it tends to be an outsized move. It happens all the time around these holiday weeks like a Memorial Day, a Labor Day, a July 4th. If the market has direction and there is lower levels of liquidity, meaning there’s less market participants, that means there’s less people to be on the other side of that directional momentum and the moves tend to extend and you tend to get these outsized moves, whether it’s up or down and I’ll tell you guys what I think the markets do this week, but you tend to get some of those outsized moves. But this week is going to be a really big week where I mentioned to you guys before about the teach terminal. And at True Trading Group, we have built out a entire ecosystem, entire suite of AI powered tools that allow our members to trade more consistently, be more profitable, and really free up a lot of their time. And one of them is the release of our active trader mode, which is by far our most advanced AI trading assistant. Um, it really brings like agentic trading and it really brings like the the cursor uh if you guys are familiar with the company cursor that SpaceX is acquiring. Um, it really acts as like the cursor of trading. And I’m going to be using this to to monitor the four positions that I have where it can actually monitor my live positions. It can take profits for me. It can stop it can stop out for me. It can move my stop-loss if it if it is warranted. It can monitor institutional order flow. In the meantime, I can set alerts for it. It can actually give me a call on my cell phone. If I’m maybe in the pool with my daughter because it’s going to be a million degrees this week up here in the Northeast. So, I might be in the pool with my daughter and if something happens and it needs my attention, it can actually give me a phone call. Literally, the AI trading assistant can actually call my phone and have a conversation with me, ask me questions. I can talk to it, tell me what’s going on and what needs my attention. And I’m going to be using that a lot this week because it’s going to be hot as all hell. And I’m going to be in the pool with my daughter at some point this week. So I’m going to be using this technology to monitor these positions because I’m in four of them. We’re long TEM, we’re long Madna, we’re long Microsoft and we’re short Circle. All four of these trades have worked out worked themselves out to be absolute fantastic. Listen, Madna is a monster. Mic Microsoft is a monster. Circle is a monster. And TEM is a really nice win. I wouldn’t call TEM a monster, but TEM is a really nice win. So we’ve got four open positions. We are very highly profitable on all four of them already. We’re down to small size on all of them. And I’m going to use active trader mode, which is one of the the most advanced trading tool system that we have on the TT terminal. I’m going to use to monitor my positions for me so I can enjoy what is going to be an incredibly hot but short holiday week and spend more time with my family. So yes, I’m going to be using that and I’m going to be using that going forward for weeks and months and for years to come. Why? because just like all of you, I don’t want to be sitting in front of my computer for eight hours a day either. I want to spend it the way that I want. And that’s just one of the tools that are available on our platform. We have another one. We have an uh an auto trade plan generator that we call the holy grail at True Trading Group that right now has a win rate over 70%. And all you do is you type in a ticker symbol. Like I don’t know, Brett, if we if we have it up, if you want to pull it up just to show people real quick kind of what it looks like, but we can actually pull it up and I can show you guys. This is one of the tools. It’s a a trade plan generator. We call it the holy grail. Essentially, what you’ll do is you’ll select what do you want to trade? A stock, an option, a futures contract, a crypto, and then you can select the ticker symbol. Brett, just put in, you know, spy, uh, equity, you know, default, do a day trade, and then click run analysis. So, this is this is the tool. So, you’ll select, would you want to trade a stock, an option, a futures contract, a crypto? Then you once you decide what security you want, what type of security you want to trade, you type in the ticker symbol. So, if you want to trade options on AMD, you put options, then you put the ticker symbol AMD, you put your account size, you put how much money you want to risk on the trade, and then you select the trading style. So, you can do scalp, day trade, swing trade, or a long-term hold. And then you just click run analysis. And you wait about 90 seconds and you’re then going to get a complete detailed trading plan with an entry, a stop-loss, multiple profit targets, detailed price action on what triggers and confirms and validates the entry, detailed price action on what would invalidate the entry and tell you to not get into the trade with also confidence score. So it will actually tell you a a confidence read. They’ll say, “Hey, we’re 75% confident in this trading plan. We’re 85% confident in this trading plan. We’re only 55% confident in this trading plan. And a lot and our members use this on a daily basis to execute trades. So if you’re someone that has a really difficult time kind of coming up with a trading plan or you don’t necessarily know where should I get in, where should I get out, problem solved. These are the type of tools that I’m referring to. You guys can see this is the report. So you see how quickly that just generated the report and the summary gives you a detailed. Okay, time that the top part is the summary. You also see the confidence score that’s up there. Uh yeah, just there’s the confidence score. Okay. And as you scroll down, it gives you the entry, the stop loss, there’s your multi- aent system. So you have the technical analysis agent that only focuses on technical analysis, indicators, chart patterns, candlesticks, volume, etc. Then you have a macro agent which only focuses on news and economic data. Then you have a wildcard agent which focuses on complete risk controls. Right? Right. And as you scroll down, you get a lot more details on the report with the entry, the stop-loss, the profit targets. It even gives you proper position size for the risk that you typed into the trade. So, if you say you have a $10,000 account, you want to risk, you know, 2%, whatever it is, it’ll suggest for you what the position size should be in order to stick to the risk tolerance that you entered when you initially ran the plan. And then our our members are using this. And this this tool right here currently has an accuracy score right now just over 70%. Which is absolutely out of this world phenomenal. So these are just some of the things that you guys have access to when you become part of True Trading Group. When you guys get access to this terminal, this is the these are the reasons why so many of our members are successful. That’s the reason why so many of our members are making money. And in case you guys missed it when I when I asked earlier, I’ll ask one more time and then we’re going to get going. If you are a member of True Trading Group, one more time guys, do me a favor. Type the number one in chat. If you’re making money, if you guys are becoming better traders and you guys are um like basically like I said, just making money here with True Trading Group, type the number one. And then this holy, this is not like AI that’s just deciding what to do that. This is an algorithm that we have built. It’s 80% deterministic, which means it’s rules-based, it’s math, it’s a strategy behind it, and then it’s about 20% AI interpretation of data. Okay, but this it’s an actual algorithm that we’ve built out and with with about 20% AI interpretation of data and 80% deterministic rules. And all the people that you see right now typing number one, these are members of TTG guys that are telling you they’re making money. These are people that are using this platform. They’re using these tools. They’re having success. And that is why our members stick with us at a clip around 75%. It’s because they actually have success. Simple. Okay. Very, very simple. So, here’s what I’m going to do before I dive in. We’re going to get into what I think the markets do this week. I have some really interesting statistics, historical stats I want to share with you about what the market typically does over the stretch of the next like week. Um, we’re going to go over some of the catalyst we have coming out this week. And then I have my trading uh watch list. We’re going to go over positions I’m already in, which I’m already in four. And then we’re going to go over additional new new ticker symbols that I’m not in yet, but I plan on getting into this week. So, I’m going to lay out for you my game plan of how I plan on making money this week, and we’ll talk about and recap some of the positions that I’m already in. Now, if you caught my live stream last week, then you would have known about the ticker symbols that I’m going to go over with you about positions that I’m already in because I talked about them last week, right? I talked about them last. Here we go. John Young says, “Holy Grail was three for four for me on Friday, so 75% accuracy. My loss was minimal thanks to the Holy Grail and the winners more than paid for an entire year of service. That’s incredible. This is what I’m talking about. There’s so many people that don’t have, this is what I mean by members of True Trading Group have access to tools and resources that distinctively and definitively give them an edge and an advantage over other retail traders that don’t have access to them. Period. And you see comments like that from from some of our members that are using these things on a daily basis.
It just confirms and reiterates everything that I’m saying. So listen, those of you that are not members, if you are not a member of True Trading Group, okay, if you’re not, you guys can actually try our platform out. You can use this holy that that trade plan generator. You can use our AI system. You can use Mari, which is the award-winning um AI platform that that’s the benzing of fintech award for best AI analysis tool. You can use our AI power charting software. You guys can use these things for 90 days for just 90 bucks. It’s our trial. You guys can try it out for a full three months. This is not something like, “Hey, try it out for seven days.” And you don’t have enough time to really figure out and and use it if and see if it’s right right for you or not. True Trading Group’s membership is an annual membership. Forget about the annual. Forget about the year-long commitment. Forget about the higher, you know, entry price. Use the platform for 90 days for just 90 bucks. Trade with us live. Use the tools. Make money. then we’ll talk about an annual membership. That’s that’s the way it should be, right? That’s the way it should be. If our if if our platform and our tools and our systems are that good, then you should see an impact on your trading within those 90 days. And if you don’t, no harm, no foul. You spent 90 bucks for 90 days and you just move on. You’ve lost way more than 90 bucks in just one trade, right? So, it’s no harm, no foul. It’s the best damn deal you guys are ever going to have. But if during those 90 days you realize that the tools and resource that you have access to on this terminal actually improved your trading dramatically and you guys were actually starting to make money. Well then now that changes everything for you. That’s potentially a life-changing decision that you made for 90 bucks. It’s a win-win for everybody. And I’m confident enough in our system that after you guys try it and you actually use it, you’re going to want to stay. That’s why we do it. That’s why I give it to you for 90 days for 90 bucks. We’re going to lose money on you. That’s okay because all these AI tools are incredibly expensive for us to run and operate. It costs more than a dollar a day, right? But we’re going to let you try them out for 90 days, for 90 bucks. Prove to you how how much they’re going to improve your trading because I’m confident you’re going to want to stick with us. Go to truerading.com990.
You guys can see it right there on the screen. You guys can can go there, sign up for the 90-day trial. We we’re posting the link also in chat. Um, if you have any questions at all, do not hesitate. Send a text message to the phone number that you see on the bottom of your screen. 1888 621-2127. Again, that is 1888621-2127.
Phone number is right down there at the bottom of your screen. You have any questions, you need help signing up, you have any concerns, you need clarity on something, send a text to that number at any time. will help you guys out with anything that you need. Otherwise, you can go right to trueradinggroup.com990
and every single thing that you see on that page you’re going to get access to for 90 days for 90 bucks plus access to the suite of AI trading tools that we have on the platform and in the TT terminal to you guys can use them for yourself and then tell me that they’re not the best damn things you’ve ever used. because I’ve been doing this for 19 years and I got to be honest with you, I was very hesitant at first to like incorporate any type of like an AI related tool into my trading because I have a system that works for me for 19 years and I I didn’t feel like changing it, right? If it’s not broken, don’t try to fix it. But I can’t deny how much better that I’ve been able to actually perform with these tools. And I can’t deny how much time it’s saved me and how much Listen, even if I even if I speed up my my pre-market routine of like, okay, what should I trade today? What’s the what’s what’s the news? What’s the analysis? All right. The even if the AI system that we have speeds that up by 15 20 minutes for me, that’s an extra 15 20 minutes I get to spend having breakfast with my daughter. Like that’s that’s the way that I look at it. And it speeds up my morning. It also improves my trading statistics and my results and improves my it improved my R my profitability and improve and improve my consistency. So I can’t deny it anymore. I’m hooked. I’m definitely on the bandwagon because the results are real and the and and the results work. And it’s not just me telling you that. It’s members of True Trading Group. So try them out for yourself. 90 days. TrueTrading.com990. Link is in chat. you have any questions, text the phone number that you see at the bottom of your screen. With that said, let’s take things on over to the charts. Let’s go through what we got cooking right now on futures. Um, and futures have had a really active session. Um so we started off futures opened up and we immediately just popped rallied it up markets moved higher uh on news that US and Iran had agreed to halt strikes because there were some tit fortat going on over the weekend um between uh the IRGC attacking ships in the straight of the US responding with air strikes on the IRGC and then the IRGC attacking I think it was Bahrain. Um, and then now there was news that the two sides had agreed to stop the strikes and they’re going to be meeting for a round of inerson talks this week and I believe I believe it was Doha. So when that news came out earlier today that took futures popped it right up and futures ran and went green. Now futures are still green but we have reversed off of a massive resistance level. And if you guys are trading futures, okay, if you guys are futures traders, the level here to focus on as far as your resistance zone is in the 7450s, okay, 7455 to 7460. If you are trading futures, again, 7455 to 7460 is a huge level of resistance. Okay, that is a very big level of resistance. That is your highs from Friday and it’s also some action on the Thursday afternoon. Okay, so if I go to this now, if you guys are trading the spy, okay, if you’re trading the spy, then that level is 736. Okay, so here’s the level right now. Now, if you guys are trading the spy, I gave you the level for futures. Futures again 70 um 7455 to 7460. All right, but if you’re trading the spy and you’re trading options on the spy rather instead, here is the resistance level that we are referring to. All right, so it’s the high of the day from Friday and it’s also the this afternoon resistance level from Thursday. Okay, so that’s where that level comes from and we just ran right up into it right now. Futures opened up. We ran right up into it and then have cents pulled right back off of it. So right now, if the cash session was to open right now, we’d be opening right around 7:33. Okay, so that’s where we are right now. That’s where futures currently sit. All right, that’s literally what just took place. This level is going to be crucial, critical, guys. I’m telling you here again. Um, we also have this resistance level here on the on the spy as well. So, if you guys are trading the spy, we’re going to be right here. Okay, so here we are. We’re going to be right back in here of 740 and then you have 744. So, you guys can just write these levels down. You can mark them on your chart. You can write them in your notebook, whatever it is. But these are going to be your resistance levels. 736, 740, 744. All right. All very important levels that we are going to be basing some of our trades off of this week. Okay. So, write all those levels down. Again, I’ll say them one more time. 736, 740, 744. Now, let’s go back to the daily chart. Daily chart matters. Here’s the resistance levels that I had showed you. Here’s one, two, and three. Now, I do not believe uh or what I do believe that we can potentially see here is a situation where there may end up being support around 731 a half, 732. So, here would be one support level because we are gapping above that level.
Okay. So, there’s one potential support zone. And what I think you may end up seeing here is I think you may end up seeing a candle that looks something like this. I call this arts and crafts with Michael Edward. It’s one of our favorite activities here inside True Trading Group. I think you end up seeing a candle that looks something like this.
Okay? And then eventually a candle that looks something like this. What I believe you’re going to see is I believe you’re going to see a little bit of a bounce as we get into the end of this week. Okay, I do think you’re going to see a little bit of a bounce as we get into the end of this week and then we’re going to look for resistance right back into this gap fill right back into 744. Okay, so we’re look for that. Yes, we do trade QQQ. Every dollar matters. We also trade the um the NQ and MNQ futures. So, we do also trade the Q’s. Yes, I just when I go through the analysis, I go over the spy. I mean, we check the spy and the Q’s every single day. It’s a it’s a it’s a routine daily analysis for us. But, you know, I instead of me picking, you know, all the going through all the different indexes, I go through the S&P, which is the broadest base of of the entire entire stock market. When I go through my overall market analysis,
you’re really never going to see a situation uh every dollar where like if I’m if I’m bullish or bearish on like let’s say if I’m bullish on the spy, you’re never going to see a situation where like I’m bullish on the spy but I’m bearish on the cues, you know. Um it’s just a matter of which one is leading the market, which move is really leading the market and where you going to get the most leverage on the move. Um so, but we trade them both. We trade them both. Okay. Um, but this is the price action I think we’re going to see. Now, why do I think this? Well, history would tell me that it will be wise to start to think long in the last um couple days of June and the first week of July. Why? because the 11-day window of the last three trading days of June and um the and the first um eight trading days of July this like week and a half window uh or twoe window the over the last you know historical many decades the market has been green 78% of the time by 2 and a half% average. 78% of the time to move higher is an incredibly high probability. And that’s not just a number that’s from the last five years. That’s a number that is from many decades of historical context. So, it really truly is a very bullish time in the market. And there’s a specific reason for that. It’s because there is a massive inflow of buying that comes into the market from 401k plans that get invested at the start of the second half of the year. So, I posted a video a week and a half ago talking about a massive rebalancing that was going to be happening on pension funds and sovereign wealth funds. And I I posted a video a week and a half ago saying be be conscious of the markets giving a pullback over the next couple of days because we’re going to have about $165 billion worth of selling. That’s going to be mechanical selling, not discretionary. Mechanical meaning it’s forced selling. It’s not discretionary because there’s a hedge fund manager that’s like, “Oh, I think it’s I think it’s the stocks over so over overbought. We should probably sell some or I think it’s going to go down, so we should sell some.” That’s discretionary. Mechanical selling is rules-based selling. And these pension funds and these sovereign wealth funds, they are mandated by a 6040 split between stocks and fixed income. Or some of them could be 7030, but the majority of them are 60/40. Now, when you have a scenario where equities have a really strong run like we had in April and May where the markets just went straight up, the the equity port uh portion of the portfolio gets way out of balance. Okay, that 6040 balance starts to get skewed where the 60% uh target for equity exposure balloons to a much higher number because the value of the equity positions have increased so much from the market rally that the waiting now is too high. So when June 30th comes, you get a rebalancing and on June 30th those funds will can will start they reposition themselves and that’s what you saw at the end of the day on Friday. You saw that massive sell candle. You had a $4 billion mock imbalance to the sell side. A lot of that was part of the rebalancing that is going to be that is taking place right up into the June 30th end of quarter deadline. So it’s forced selling. They are forced to sell off some of their equity exposure and buy fixed income to get their assets under management back to the 6040 mandate or in some cases the 7030 mandate. So, I posted about that a week and a half ago and I warned people about that and we got a beautiful selloff over the course of the last couple of days and but then now that tide starts to shift and turn as that rebalancing finishes and now here comes the inflow of all the 401k purchases to start the second half of the year. And that’s the reason why 78% of the time the market moves higher in the first week or so of July. It’s because of that buying that comes into the market on the back of that. And when that buying comes into the market, because it’s July 4th holiday, there’s not a lot of market participants. So, there’s not a lot of liquidity on the opposite side of that trade to to to absorb and to soak up a lot of that buying pressure that comes in. So, these are the mechanics of the market on why the numbers are so so in the favor of a bullish move during that time period. But the number gets even crazier when you consider midterm election years. If you look back at 200 from 2006, okay, from 2006,
every midterm election year, July is green 80% of the time. 80% of the time with an average gain of 3.38%. The last midterm election in July, the spy went up 8% in one month. An 8% rally in the month of July. The last time we had a midterm election in July. And if you look at the last couple times that June has been a red month, it gets crazier again, even crazier when June is red because June is red. Okay, June, we’re down a little less than 4% in the month of June in 2026. Well, if you go back to the early 2000s, there have been 12 occasions when June finished red. 12. Of those 12 times that June finished red, 10 of them, July was green. That’s an 83%
win rate. And if you look at the last three times that June dropped more than 3% because we’re down 3.9% in the month of June right now, not counting where we are in futures based on Friday’s close down 3.9%. So if you look at the last couple times, June was red by more than 3%. 2009, June was red by 3%. July green 7%. 2010 June was red by 4%. July green 7.3%. 2022 June was red by 8%. July green by 8%. So these are not just small moves to the upside in the month of July. These are sizable moves that the market makes. But I’m not here to talk to you guys about the whole month of July. What I’m here to talk about is what do we think is going to happen this week, right? How can we position ourselves to make money this week? And now that we know that we’re going to have the completion of the rebalancing, you’re going to have the inflow of all of the 401k purchases that come in on the second half of the year. You’re going to have lower levels of liquidity. You’re going to have all the jobs data. And you’re going to have Kevin W speaking at an economic forum conference.
And you also have news headlines between the talks between the US and Iran. All of that’s going to happen with a holiday week with less liquidity. That is the perfect setup for a oversized directional move based on what direction those catalysts suggest. So essentially what I’m telling you is if these catalysts work out in the bullish favor, the bullish outcome, okay, the bullish outcome would be when Kevin W speaks at the economic conference, he is not as hawkish as he was during the Fed meeting. And you want to see does he talk about and acknowledge the sharp decline in oil prices and if he expects that to help inflation come down over the next couple months because that would make people feel like there the Fed is not as hawkish and there’s not as high of a chance of rate hikes as everybody believes there is right now. That’s the bullish outcome from that catalyst. What about the economic data with when it comes to jobs? The bullish outcome for the jobs data is a honestly slightly weaker than expected or in line. You do not want a strong as hell jobs report. A strong as hell jobs report I think is going to make the market still believe that the chances of a rate hike are even more likely. So I think an inline jobs report I think is going to be a really perfect kind of goldilocks type scenario for that. Okay. you look at um the US and Iran obviously with that it’s just a matter of just make sure that talks are progressing and they don’t go back to air strikes right so these are just some of the catalysts that we have coming out if those things start to line up you should see a market that just kind of melts up for like three or four days and we can just catch we can just sit on the back of that long we can ride that wave and that wave should take us back to 744 which is the gap fill that you see on my screen and it’s that big resistance level that’s up here so we can look for arch and crash with Michael Edward and give you maybe like three trading days where the candles just look something like I have drawn on my screen for you guys here where it’s like one, two, three, right? And that’s just kind of what we get and it takes us right back up into into that resistance level. Okay, so something that looks like
that. Okay, that’s what you can get here in July. Now on the flip side, if all of these catalysts come out in the bearish example, okay, if all these catalysts come out in the bearish example and you know it’s that would require honestly I I would also need the markets to sell off a bit further here. We are bouncing back again on futures. We’re now up 4%. I I’m leaning towards a bullish move to finish out the week and then continue into the next week and I’m looking for a move back up to 744. But if we reject off of 50-day moving average and the 9 EMA, you can see these two moving averages are converging on each other and they’ve been resistance for the last three trading days. You can see these last three trading days, the 9 EMA, resistance, resistance, resistance. So if that rejects and acts as resistance again tomorrow and you get a candle that looks something like this. This is going to be the bearish example. The bearish example is we try to get up there, we try to bounce and then you fade this back off and you close somewhere down near the lows of the day and you get a candle that looks something like that and then the 9 EMA comes down resistance 9 EMA crosses over and then you get maybe some some bearish catalyst with the job openings. Maybe the job openings are a lot stronger than people thought and it adds to rate hikes and the market now pulls back to the downside and everybody would say the 50-day moving average is now completely and fully broken. And then I would say it’s time at that at that point. It would be time to stay to get short, stay short and look for a little bit more of of a deeper pullback at that time. But I’m not leaning towards that being the most likely scenario for this week. I have a bullish lean and a bullish bias coming into the week. But I am still fully aware of the severity of these moving averages and how they’ve been kind of how, you know, price has been reacting off of them when they’ve interacted with it over the last couple of days. Okay, so those are my thoughts there as it relates to the overall market. Hope you guys now feel better prepared for the markets there. Let’s go over some of the positions that I’m already in and just talk about how we’re going to manage those. Um, I’m already in Madna. If you guys followed me my live stream last week, I told you guys this was one of the stocks that was right at the top of my watch list. We bought the stock on Monday of last week at 59.94. We took profit at 62 and then at 64. Then we reloaded and bought back um on Thursday at 60 and this thing absolutely blew the lid off and exploded on Friday up to 69. We peeled off a ton of profit into this into the 69 move, but I’m still long some of this position because I think that Madna has room into the 70s. Um I’m also really pretty bullish on biotech and I’m really bullish on um healthc care for the second half of the year. I think there’s actually going to be really lot a lot of really good opportunities there. [clears throat] I’m already in two biotech names. One healthcare name is actually on my watch list for this week. But with Madna, I kind of want to see Madna now find support around 64. Allow the 9 EMA to to catch up, maybe give you one or two consolidation days. You can see this 9 EMA really was the was the catalyst behind the breakout trigger. Once that 9 EMA caught up to the consolidation, it took you up and out of this downtrend resistance line um and solidified support at 58. 58 was massive resistance over the course of the last several months that you guys can see here. We broke through that two weeks ago and then I got long, like I said, on the pullback back in to retest the level. Just had to wait long enough for the 9A to catch up and then blew the lid off. So, I’m still long. We’re going to try to see if now we can move some move support up to around 64. And if you get a nice little consolidation on uh on Madna, maybe tomorrow you get a nice pull back to 64 65. It holds, bounces back, recovers, gets back to high 60s, then you get a nice push and something that looks like that over the course of the next couple of days. So that is what I’m looking for. We might even be able to reload the position down there at 65 if we get it. So that’s Madna. Again, that’s a position that I’m already in. Full disclosure, long from 59.94, but looking for more. Then we have TEM. This is another one. We’re long TEM. Kind of a similar scenario here. I do think we get a little bit more uh resistance here is at 58, but if you break through 58, this thing can really get up there into the 60s. I’m not as confident in TEM, just being completely straight honest with you guys. The resistance level is a bit bigger. Madna broke above resistance. Madn uh TEM is still underneath it. So, not as much conviction here on TEM as I had with Madna because MADNA had cleared the resistance and it was now support. On TEM, we’re breaking out of a flag consolidation and a moving average cross that’s pushing us into resistance. We haven’t broken the resistance yet. So, don’t have the same high level of confidence, but I am long from 53s and we popped this thing up to 57. took a bunch of profits off there on Friday, but I am still long some and I would not like my stop loss has been moved to 54. All right, but looking for a little bit more there on TEM. Again, guys, I’m just going through these are positions I’m already in. Just giving you updates for anyone that followed me from last week. Um, and you guys want updates on the positions and what I’m doing with them. So, that’s TEM, that’s Madna, and then on Friday, I got into Microsoft. I’m long for M I’m long Microsoft at from 358 uh and 11. We took a ton of profit off into the 370s because quite honestly, this is our target. And I did not think when I bought this stock on Friday, I did not think that we were going to get to 375 on Friday. I thought we I was going to have to hold on to this, you know, into next week in order for me to really get a move into the 370s. And I was wrong. Uh Matt Miller said, “I had my first ever fourdigit profit on Friday because I strictly followed the Holy Grails trade plan on Microsoft calls. I can’t tell you how much of a boost that has been to my confidence and my mental capital. There it is, guys. That’s what I’m talking about. So, the holy grail, that’s that trade plan generator that I mentioned to you before that has an accuracy right now over 70%. Members, literally just type in the ticker symbol. What is the trading style that you are looking for? A scalp, a day trade, a swing trade, a long-term hold. You type run anal, you click run analysis, it gives you a detailed trading plan with confidence score. and Matt Miller just had their very first ever fourdigit profit by following the holy grails plan perfectly and gave them a beautiful trade on Microsoft calls. Congratulations, Matt. I love to see it. Again, if you guys are not members, you can use these tools. You can try them out for yourself. All you have to do is join our 90-day trial. It’s going to cost you just 90 bucks. Go to trueraininggroup.com990.
Again, that’s trueing.com990. or you can send a text message to the phone number you see at the bottom of the screen if you need help or you have questions. 1888-621-2127.
All right, try these tools out for yourselves, guys. All right, so let’s get back to to Microsoft. I’m still on Microsoft, but I’m down to small size because I got in at 358 and this thing just absolutely exploded on Friday. Um, and I just I was like, “All right, we’re going to keep on running. I’m just going to keep on taking profit until I run out of shares. Um, and I’m down to small size, but we’re still long some. And the reason why I got long this in the first place, 350 is an absolute massive support level for Microsoft. And if I p pan this back, you guys will see this. There is previous all-time highs from 2021. Then you had resistance all-time highs 2023. Then you finally broke above it. You pulled back down into that level with the tariff announcements in April of 2025 and it became support. Then you dropped back down into it with the Iran war at the end of March. It became support. Then you dropped back down into it on Thursday, it became support. You this massive gap up there on Friday. There’s also an inverse correlation that I’ve been noticing for the last several weeks now between AI semiconductors and software. When we have had really strong uh AI semiconductor days, software has been weak. When AI semiconductors have been weak, software has bounced. And that cor that inverse correlation does make sense. We came into the markets on f on Friday with a very weak tape on semiconductors. yet. This is after Micron’s earnings. Um, this is after Apple was talking about buying memory from from Chinese companies and you saw just a lot of weakness come in on semiconductors. So, we came into the markets with semis weak, overall markets weak, but Microsoft was gapping up. That was the cleancut signal to me again that inverse correlation is there and we’re getting a gap up off of major support and I said it’s time for us to take a stab here. We’re going to go for a long. Microsoft was also oversold into that support level with a 20 RSI reading, which is an oversold reading. It was the perfect textbook scenario for a bounce. We jumped in 358, wrote it all the way into the 370s. And this whole area is resistance. You have resistance here from like 378 to 382. That is my final take-profit target. So, I’m looking for Microsoft at some point this week to get right into this zone, the low 380s, guys. The low 380s, this box you see on my screen, okay? Anywhere from 380 to 385, somewhere in that zone. I’ll be taking my final profit off on this trade. If we do get a pullback, I’d look for 365 to try to be support, but I’m looking for a little bit more upside there on Microsoft. Again, these are positions I’m already in. Then we have circle, right? Then we have circle. We take a look here at circle. Now, this is I’m I’m only in a runner on circle, which is it’s like 10% of my original position, but I’m still in it, so we got to talk about it, right? I’ll talk about it until I’m done, you know, until I no longer have position. Okay. Uh, Gag Tusa, you’re an old member. Okay. Listen, Gagusa, if you’re an old member, we’ll hook you up. Gagusa, we’ll hook you up. Send a text message right now and we’ll hook you up as as a previous member. We’ll get you back on board. we’ll give you a fantastic deal. Uh just shoot us a text gagusa 1888-621-2127. The phone number is right at the bottom of your screen. Just literally shoot a text that number. Say, “Hey, I’m a I used to be a member. I want to come back.” And and they’ll get you hooked up. Right. So again, that phone number gagusa is 18886212127.
I look forward to trading with you, man. Welcome back to the team. Glad to have you back home. All right, so shoot a text. We’ll get you hooked up. I’ll see you in chat tomorrow, brother. All right, so let’s get back to Circle again. This is a trade that I shorted last week. I shorted Circle at 77. We took profits down into 68 and I’m still long. I’m excuse me, I’m still short a small piece because honestly, if Bitcoin is to really clear out this 60K level, which it’s having a really hard time, it’s trying to hold it. We got to 59. It’s kind of sticking around here. 59 60 59. If that level breaks, Bitcoin goes right to 50K. And if Bitcoin goes to 50K, you know, you’re going to be looking at Circle in the low 60s. And there’s a a gap fill on Circle. The gap fill on Circle is 61 and a half. You have support at 65. So, I’m still short like a small 10% piece. Again, guys, I got short at 77. We took profits into 68. I have a very small piece of this position left. On Friday, we had a bounce back to 74, which is fine. I’m short from 77 and I’m just, you know, if it gets above 75, I’ll pro 75 76. I’ll probably cover the last piece. Already a tremendously profitable trade. I’m just looking for a little bit more just in case Bitcoin does break that 60k level. All right, so that’s circle. Now, let’s talk about these are those are positions that I’m already in. Now, let’s talk about positions that I’m going to be getting in. I mentioned you that I believe that healthcare is going to have a strong second half of the year. Well, there is not another stock that I think we should focus on that is quietly having an unbelievable tear the last couple of months than United Health. United Health got completely thrown into the trash last year. Was a brutal year for the stock in 2025, one of the worst years on record for the name. That has changed in 2026 and has changed even more so over the last three months. This stock was $270 in April. It is now 427 and nobody is talking about it and the stock looks freaking fantastic. You have a huge resistance level on United Health that sits at $440. That is where I believe that the stock is headed. I think any pullback on this is buyable. You have a nice flat top breakout that we took out at 415 416. I think that is a nice support zone. Any type of a any type of a of a pause in this momentum, any type of a consolidation candle, I think is a long opportunity with a stop-loss around 413 412. So, we can have a long right into this previous resistance and we can put our stop loss right around here. We look for a nice little little pullback into 420 or so. Scoop that thing long. Look for a push to 440 over the course of the next couple of days. That is United Health. Next up, next up we have AMD. Now, the reason why I want to focus on AMD so much here is because there’s a very, very obvious and clear level that we need to pay attention to. And that level is 505. Now, if you guys take a look at my screen, I’m going to show you why this level is so significant. Multiple areas and and points of structure here. You can see low of the day, low of the day, high of the day, high of the day, low of the day, low of the day, low of the day, low of the day, low of the day, low of the day. Tons of structure here at 505. Now, if 505 breaks, then I believe this is a no-brainer short. Okay, if 505 breaks, if AMD gaps down tomorrow, you can see this nice little hammer tail off that support level, which typically a hammer tail off support is bullish. It is a buy signal. Okay. But if you do not if AMD does not gap up tomorrow into a green tape on the overall market, then I think you got to watch out for a break. If you wake up tomorrow and let’s say AMD is at like 512, I I I think it’s I think I think it could be a short. If you gap down tomorrow, so I’m giving you very specific price action. I’m not telling you like, hey, go short regardless. I’m telling you, if you wake up tomorrow morning and this stock is at like 510, 512 for whatever the reason, I think that’s a really weak sign and a failed bounce attempt with a hammer candle at support and then the support level probably gives up if that’s the case and you probably get a red candle that looks something like this. Okay? So, be weary of the gap down tomorrow on AMD for that support level to break and then fill the gap, take you down to 490. My target would be 490. Okay. Now, if you gap up tomorrow, then that confirms that that confirms the hammer tail at support, right? So, you would not you would not be shorting that. We got to welcome Nikolai or Nicolay. Nicolay, welcome to the TTG fam. Everybody, welcome Nicole. So, if you gap up, I’m not touching the short. I’m also not going to go long. I just I don’t necessarily like the long as much either because I just feel like this is just a nasty kind of consolidation. I don’t really see clear clean setup there. Um the only clean clear setup there that I see is resistance at 560 and support at 505. So what I’m going to do is I’m going to just wait to place my trades off of those key levels. I don’t want I don’t want to get caught diddling in the middle of that consolidation. I I don’t think it’s worth it. All right. Then we have a recent IPO in the quantum space and that ticker symbol is QNT. And you guys can see here on QNT, really nice strong green wide range body candles mixed in there. You have a nice, beautiful hammer tail setup here. And it just kind of looks to me like you have a really nice support zone in the high60s. You have a little bit of a lower high that got put in place. I don’t know if this thing maybe gives you it might need a little bit more time, but I would watch for a a a few more days of consolidation in here, you know, like maybe a few days of a consolidation in here before before maybe continuing continuing back to the upside. I just think that there’s enough support down there around call it 6968 that I think that there could be maybe some more upside there on Q&T. So what I’m going to try to do is you see this 9 EMA this light blue line on my screen. You can see how that’s kind of acting as support here. I’m going to let this thing keep curling and see if it’s support on on on pullbacks into it. So let it keep curling up and if you get a candle maybe like like say tomorrow you get a pullback into like 74 look for that area to hold see it not fall beneath 72 and give you a candle that looks something like that. That would be bullish to me and and say let’s look for a move and break out into the 80s. All right, that’s going to be Q&T.
Next, Bloom Energy. Bloom Energy got shellacked the last two days. Why? It’s being removed from the Russell 2000 because it’s too good of a company now and it’s going to be rebalanced and then it’s going to be part of the Russell 1000. So, you had forced selling that came into Bloom Energy. Um, and you have a really nice megaphone pattern that is formed out here. And the way that I think that this is going to take place, I would love another gap down on Bloom Energy because in my opinion, Bloom Energy is a long in the 230s. If there was a gap down on Bloom Energy, I would look for Bloom Energy to then give you a beautiful nice bounce back off of that support level. Okay? I would look for a beautiful bounceback move um and and look for blue energy to really just take you back up into these these levels here. So, I’m looking for this area right around here 240 or so. We’re going to look for that to be support. So, we’re going to crash this thing right down into that support level and look for a deadcap bounce from there. So, crash it right down into 230s. Take the long on 230s. Stop loss maybe 220 and look for this thing to pop back 270. All right. So, we’ll look for like 3 to one, four to one riskreward on that right into that level. Look for a deadcat bounce and that’s Bloom Energy. And then last but not least, we’re going to take a look. We went from Bloom Energy, which is New Age Energy. We’re going to go to then old school energy and it’s going to be Chevron. Chevron has huge support at 170. Okay, as I pan this back and we zoom out, you guys can see incredibly strong resistance in 2023, resistance in 2024, resistance in 2025, resistance in early 2026. Then you broke above it, massive explosion, pulled all the way back down into that support level, and now for good measure, that support level also includes this yellow line, which is the 200 day moving average. And I also think that oil is due for a nice bounce. Oil has done a round trip. Oil before the Iran war was at 67. We went all the way to 115, 118, whatever it was. Then we dropped all the way back down to 69. I don’t believe oil is going to just easily fall to 60. I believe now that you’ve done a complete round trip on oil. I believe oil is going to bounce back into the high 70s. maybe get to like a 77 78 maybe even 80 bounce off that level and that should take uh Chevron at least back to 176. So we’re looking at Chevron for a long around 172 with a target of 176. We’ll leave a runner for 177 and a half 178 stop loss under 170. And that wraps things up guys. That is how we are going to start the week off. That’s going to be our focus. That’s where we’re looking to make some money. you guys know positions that I’m already in. Now you know some positions that I’m going to be getting into. That’s the plan for the week. I hope you guys feel better prepared. It is going to be a short week. Make them count. Friday, the markets are closed. So, make sure you are aware of that when you’re going through your trades and determining what it is that you guys want to hold. Again, if you are not a member, make sure you guys go ahead right now join the 90-day trial. Truegroup.com990. Again, that’s trueradinggroup.com90990.
You guys can join us for 90 days. Use the entire suite of AI trading tools. Trade with myself, the other seven professional traders that are mods live each and every single day for 90 days. Then let’s determine if you think you guys want to stay here at True Trading Group for the year. I think you’re going to want to because members stay at True Trading Group when they join for the full year. They join and they stay with us for a retention rate around 74 75%. So, I’m confident you’re gonna want to stay as well. Use the tools for yourself. Try them out. Go to trueradinggroup.com990. If you guys have any questions at all, 18886212127.
Have a wonderful rest of your night. Congratulations to my Canadians for being the first team to advance to the round of 16. Was a hell of a game. They looked really good that I mean that game could have easily been four nothing. I mean, Canada had a lot of really great scoring chances. So, congratulations to our Canadian members. True Training Group is a global community. We have 11,000 members in 114 different countries. Canada is our second largest member base. Obviously, the US is number one. Canada is number two. So, big shout out to all of our Canadian fans and our Canadian family members out there from TTG on your victory today against South Africa. All right. And sorry for all of our South African members because we do have several members actually that are from South Africa. We have members literally all over the world. It’s fantastic, amazing trading community. I love you guys all. Have a great night. Subscribe to the channel. Smash that like button. Show some love. Turn on your notifications. I will see you all tomorrow. Take care, folks.