Hey yo, what’s up everybody? What’s going on folks? Welcome to the True Trading Group live stream. Hope you guys all had a nice weekend and are ready to get down to business. We’ve got a big week coming up. We’ve got inflation data. We’ve got the kickoff of the new earning season. We’ve got renewed tensions and military strikes going on between the US and Iran. We’ve got futures that are slightly red right now as the market continues to shrug off the um resurgence of activity going on in the Middle East and the kind of the tit fortat back and forth between the US and Iran. Oil prices also moving moving a little bit higher but nowhere near as big of a reaction as you know maybe people were anticipating coming into the futures open today. We were down.3%. We’ve taken back a good chunk of that in the last few minutes. only down2% now and I think maybe a lot of people were thinking we were going to get a much larger gap down after that but the market continues to shrug off and it really has over the last week to one to two weeks since we’ve gotten this um you know renewed strike for strike back and forth between the US and Iran and the markets have really shrugged it off and the markets have continued to move higher how much longer it does that I’m not sure what is the extent of escalation that would get the markets to finally roll over. I’m really not sure. I don’t necessarily really have that answer, but I have been just steadfast in my analysis of the overall market over the last couple of weeks. I have not allowed any type of news headlines to deter me off of the analysis that I have had over the last, you know, two weeks. And my analysis remains the same here today as I enter this live stream. I’m going to share with you tonight what I think the markets are going to do this week. What I think the markets are going to do over the course of the next couple of weeks because we have been focused on really one direction in the overall markets for the last two weeks. Um and that direction over the last two weeks in true trading group we’ve been really focused on the long and we’ve been focusing on buying pullbacks into support. We’ve had a couple of really high quality pullbacks um and a really couple of not not high quality pullbacks. We’ve had a couple of really high quality support levels get retested, confirm hold, and then give us really nice follow-through to the upside. So, it really was a very strong finish to the week last week. Um, between Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, very big days for us inside Trading Group was we were all over the long our um our trade plan generator that we call the holy grail. It’s actually a tool that you type in a ticker symbol and it’ll give you a full trading plan. Whether you’re trading an option contract, a futures, an equity, a crypto, whatever. You type in the ticker symbol, what uh security you’re trading, what type of trading style you’re looking for, and it will give you a full detailed trading plan with a confidence score. And that tool um was really going was lighting up the board Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with just longs, high confidence, high conviction longs from our trade plan generators. Um that that those trading plans and that analysis was supported through our um AI charting software that has NASDAQ level 3 institutional order flow data within it. And we’ve been able to basically verify with the tools that we have the level of the analysis and the conviction to the long side. Coupling that with the institutional order flow that we’re able to track thanks to the tools that we have, the agreement we have with the NASDAQ that gives us access to this data, we can actually make determination between institutional orders and retail orders in the overall market. And when we get to see those real we get to see clusters of institutional buyers really stepping in at one particular level and that level lines up with the support zone that we’ve already identified that also lines up with an an entry point that our trade plan generator is suggesting. All the stars align. You check all the boxes off green and you just enter the trade because that’s as high of a probability setup as you’re going to get. Does that mean that it’s going to work 100% of the time? No. As a matter of fact, it works just over 70% of the time. And that’s a phenomenal success rate that we have with these tools. And it’s really allowed us to really just kind of rip this move to shreds. And as we come in here now today on this live stream, we’re entering a really pivotal week. And this week is not just important for you know us to make money this week but th this this week is going to be important on my thesis for the overall market for the rest of the year and also my thesis on the overall market for the next one and a half to two years because I have a very specific thought process on what I think this market’s going to do not just this week not just this month but honestly for the next one to two years I’m pretty set with my analysis and what I think is going to take place Now, if a black swan event happens or something changes that that kind of makes me shift that analysis, then I’ll obviously be letting everybody know that and I will adjust. I’m not going to be stubborn with it if if I start to realize that I’m wrong on that analysis. So, I’m going to talk to you guys about all of this today on this live stream. Um, because the CPI data that we’re getting today this week is going to be critical to my thought process over the next one to two years because I am someone that has been of the mindset that the Fed is not going to raise rates. Um, I know everybody continues to the markets have priced in rate hikes. Uh, I know a lot of people keep continue to talk about the possibility of rate hikes, but I for one still don’t think that they’re actually going to raise rates. I think that over the course of the next two to three months, inflation is going to start to ease as oil prices continue to trade back into the low7s. Um, and that easing of inflation is going to start to then see rate hike expectations fade. And then I think going in 2027, I actually think the next time that the Fed changes rates, I actually think that it’s a cut. Um, and that is a very huge component of my analysis as we go forward for the next two years, because I still do remain bullish on the overall markets. And if I’m right about the Fed cutting rates going into next year, it’s a very hard backdrop for us for for me or for most people, but you know, we’re talking about me and my analysis right now. very hard backdrop for me to be negative on if the Fed does actually cut rates in, you know, next year. I don’t think they’re going to cut rates this year. Um, if they do, the absolute earliest would be December, but I I think that’s even too optimistic. I think you’re looking at 2027. I just don’t think they’re going to raise. Now what would make that incorrect is if inflation does not ease is if oil goes back to 90 or 100 or even worse then you will be looking at rate hikes and you will be looking at my analysis changing over the last one to two years over the next one to two years rather. Um but that’s not where I’m at right now. It’s not where I’m at today. If that time comes that I change that thought process I change that analysis I’ll certainly let all of you guys know. But today, we’re going to talk about earnings next week. We’re going to talk about the inflation data. We’re going to talk about my watch list. I’ve got a list of stocks right here uh on my notebook of exactly what I’m going to trade going into this week, the levels that I’m going to enter. I’m going to walk you guys through the exact game plan right here, right now on this live stream, exactly my my plan, how we’re going to make money this week. So, welcome. All right. Welcome to the True Trading Group live stream. For those of you that are new, you may not be familiar with with necessarily who I am. My name is Michael Edward Parat. I go by Michael Edward. I’m the co-founder and the head trader at True Training Group. I’m thrilled to have you guys with me here tonight. No soccer games tonight, no World Cup games, so we can all just enjoy the live stream and prepare for the week. Um prepare for the week uh without distraction. What a what a semi-final this is going to be for the World Cup. I mean, you couldn’t ask for a better semi-final. I mean, it’s it’s the top four teams in the in the world, right? If I’m not mistaken, isn’t Argentina is ranked number one, France is number two, Spain is number three, and England is number four. If I believe those are the FIFA uh the FIFA World Rankings coming into the World Cup, I believe that that was the case. And we are going to get Argentina, England, we’re going to get Spain, France, and uh you couldn’t ask, I think, for a more exciting final. I’m actually considering flying to Dallas for the France, Spain game on Tuesday. I can fly in Tuesday morning. I can go to the game Tuesday and I can fly home Tuesday night. I’m actually thinking about it because the tickets actually are not are not as crazy as I thought that they were going to be. The tickets at Metife um for the final are absolutely ludicrous. Absolutely ludicrous. But that’s going to be an amazing game. But anyway, I digress. We’re not here to talk about sports. We’re here to talk about stocks. We’re here to talk about how we’re going to make money this week. It’s exactly what we are going to do. I’m thrilled to have you guys with us. Right, TTG this platform. I need you guys to understand this is not just a chat room with trade alerts. True trading group is an entire fintech platform and trading software for retail traders that is designed to help you learn faster, trade smarter, and for profit sooner. We are uh very proud to be partnered with and to be powered by the NASDAQ, Benzinga, OpenAI, Databento, and Unusual Wales. True Training Group is an award-winning platform. We’ve received the global benzinga fintech award for best AI analysis tool. This is a platform that’s built in education backed by experience strategies proven by success and tools that actually think and are customized to the individual user you. It is not just me here at true trading group. There are seven other professional full-time trading moderators at TTG. We all share our screens with you. We trade in front of you live. We answer questions. We provide our market commentary and analysis. And of course, obviously, the trade alerts, which you guys all all love. The modders and I collectively as a group able to maintain a cumulative win rate amongst all the mods and amongst all of our executions of just around 80% going on roughly the last six years. We track all of our entries, all of our take profits, all of our stop losses, our greens, our reds, our green trades, our red trades, our break evens are all tracked right there for you to see. Fully transparent, complete, total open book. all of our trading activities is uh uploaded onto our website with every single execution and transaction that the moderators make so that our members and everyone have full complete transparency um and just like I said open book into everything it is that we do here but as good as those trade alerts are the reason why so many of our members are successful we have 11,000 members in your trading group from 114 different countries members from all over the world um and we have a retention rate amongst our members of around 74%. It’s an unbelievably high retention rate. Most of our members have been here for many years. And the reason for that is that our members are successful. And the reason why so many of our members are successful. As much as I would love to tell you that it is because I am the world’s greatest trader. That’s not the reason why our members are successful. Because I am not the world’s greatest trader. I’ve never claimed to be. I’m a damn good one. I’ve been doing this for 19 years, but I’m not the world’s best. not the sole reason why all of our memories are are having the success that they’re having. The reason why people at your trading group, I think, are really, you know, coming into their own and are finding success and are and are reaching their goals and are developing in their trading and are making better financial decisions, are building out their long-term portfolios better and are supplementing their income or some of them are full on out replacing their income. is we’ve had a lot of members that have actually succeeded in making the transition to leaving their job and going full-time, which is something that a lot of people strive to accomplish, but very few ever can say that they actually do. We’ve had a lot of members that have accomplished that goal. And it’s not because the alerts are so incredible. The alerts are fantastic, but it’s because the platform that is true trading group gives members access to tools and resources, data, and analytics that most retail traders simply don’t have access to. Like to have access to true level three data that actually can read institutional order flow and distinguish it between that and retail is a massive advantage for a retail trader that typically only institutions and professional traders and market makers have access to. You can’t hide iceberg orders from us. Iceberg orders are if someone puts a a sell order for 10,000 shares, but they’re only showing 100 shares on level two. You’ll look at a level two feed and you’ll sit there and say watching your level two and say, “Oh, look, there’s 100 shares for sale.” And somebody hits it for 500, but the market maker doesn’t move. And you go, “What the hell? I thought there was only a 100 shares there.” And then somebody hits it for a,000 and the market maker doesn’t move. And you’re like, “What the hell? It’s only showing a 100 shares. Why is that market maker not moving? That is an iceberg order. That is a an order that is showing 100 shares on level two, but the real order is actually 10,000 shares. Now, on level three, we can see that distinction. We can see that this is an iceberg order for 10,000 shares. It’s only showing 100. It’s only showing 200. Okay, here’s an order for 12,000 shares. It’s only showing 100. Right? That gives you a massive advantage in identifying support levels, resistance levels, helps you better time your entries on when to get in and better time your exits on when to get out, when to lock profits, and when the tide is about to turn, the tide is about to shift. Tools like that, resources and data like that is what gives members of True Trading Group a distinct edge and advantage over other retail traders that don’t have access to these things. Right? That’s what makes the difference. It’s sending members out day in and day out with better tools and better weaponry to go to battle each and every single day in the markets. And you have to start realizing, you have to start approaching trading this way. When you place a trade, you really truly are going to battle. You’re not buying an option contract or shares from some magical bank somewhere. There is somebody else on the other side of that trade. Okay? When I say bank, I don’t mean like a like an investment bank. I mean like a like a storage fac like a bank storage bank. Like you’re not just buying it off the shelf. There’s someone that’s selling you that option contract. There’s someone that’s selling you that futures contract. There’s someone that’s selling you those shares. So somebody thinks something’s going to go down. You think it’s going to go up. One of you is right. One of you is wrong. One of you is going to make money. The other is going to lose it. When you make a winning trade, you’re not just that money is not just being created out of thin air. Somebody else is losing it. You are going to battle. You are going into a fight each and every single day. And the last thing that you ever want to do is show up to a gunfight holding a fork. And if all you do day in and day out is log onto your Robin Hood account, check what somebody on a Discord chat is talking about, go read a Reddit page and search for the most talked about ticker symbols on X and go ahead and place a trade. Then my friends, you are showing up to a a gunfight holding not even a fork, you’re holding a spork. Okay? When you guys join True Training Group and you guys become part of this platform, you get access to these tools. You’re showing up to a gunfight with, you know, a galactic laser is really what you’re doing. You have access to tools and resources that other retail traders simply do not have. And that gives you a distinct advantage. And that is the reason why so many of our members are successful. And by successful, I mean they’re actually making money. Not just they feel good. It means they’re actually making money. And I’ll prove that to you. Don’t just believe me because I say it. Just cuz I’m some guy on a YouTube channel doesn’t mean you just automatically believe all of the words that come out of my mouth with no proof or substance behind it. This is not a trust me bro type of situation. Members of your trading group that are on this live stream right now, there’s many of you that are on here. If you are a member, I want you to type the number one in chat and tell me if you are making money, if you are becoming a better trader because of TTG. Type the number one in chat right now. Anyone that’s watching this live that’s not a member, you should pay close attention to how many people you see type the number one because all the people you see typing the number one are your peers. These are members. These are people that once were simply a viewer on a live stream like you are tonight and they decided to join this platform, use these tools, join this community, get guidance from these moderators and they’re now sitting here telling you that they are making money. And at the end of the day, that’s what we are here for. Like we’re not here to make friends. We’re not here to talk about sports. Although you will do both of those things as a member of True Trading Group, okay? I can’t help myself to talk about sports. I love it. There’s two things I can always talk about until I’m blue in the face. It’s stocks and sports. So, if you’re that kind of person, then I’m I’m your guy, okay? But, um it’s and you’re also going to make friends. We have um members that join True Training Group. They stay. Like I said, we have a retention rate in the mid70s. We have members here that have been here for years. We have members from 114 different countries. We have members in every single state. We have members that actually, you know, have formed their own little meetups. Look at that. Look at that. Kwise, I made $1,200 in 10 minutes on Friday. See what I mean? You see what I mean? Now, Kwise, was that because of the tools? Like, was it a holy grail? Was it AI charts? Was it active trader mode? Was it a moderator’s alert or was it just the education that you received and it was your own analysis in your own trade.
Nice. Zachary Williams, what’s up, brother? I just saw your your your post. Your first day here, but I believe I’ll be back. Yeah, I like to hear that, man. Yeah, I like to hear that. I do these live streams every Sunday. I’m not a Monday morning quarterback kind of guy. I come out here. I stick my neck out there. I tell you, this is what I think the market’s going to do. These are the trades I’m going to make. I don’t just come on after the fact. I come on before I get into these positions and tell you about them. And I’m going to be wrong sometimes and I’m okay with that. You know, when I’m wrong, I’m wrong. We talk about it. I’m right a lot more than I’m wrong, but I don’t have a 100% win rate. Um, you know, I’m going to be wrong sometimes and I’m I’m perfectly fine coming on here and giving you guys that breakdown and giving you guys that. Yes, it was the holy grail. Kwise, there’s KY. So Kwise, that was a followup. That’s great. So yes, you use the holy grail. So holy grail is the trade plan generator that I was mentioning to you guys before. Uh AZ says, “I’m not a member, but I made 2500 bucks after listening to your analysis.” AZ Med, that sounds like it’s now time for you to become a member. That’s what that sounds like. You’re not a member, but you made 2500 bucks just listening to my Sunday analysis. So, I love that. I love that. But imagine if you were with us then live throughout the trading sessions and you were getting my live analysis each and every single day all day long, right? Imagine how much you know what you could have done at that time. So, my I would tell you right there then join. Okay, I will tell you right there, Jo. You already made 2500 bucks. You’ve already way more than cover the cost of an annual membership. Way more than cover the cost of an annual membership. So, my my advice to you at that point, AZ, is is join. Come trade with us full-time then. Um, and let’s just let’s keep let’s keep kicking ass and taking names. But great job. 25,00 bucks on my analysis. I assume you’re talking about my analysis from last week. Um, that’s fantastic. That’s that’s really great. So, really, really good stuff there. But, like I said, you guys saw all the people that typed the number one. These are members that are making money. Um, and you guys can use these tools like the holy grail. That’s what that one member said. They made 1,200 bucks in 10 minutes on Friday. Brett, do you actually have it? You want to just pull it up real quick? I can just show you guys how we use it. Yeah. I’ll just show you guys. So, this is just one of our tools that you guys will get access to as a member. This is our trade plan generator. Okay. So, you guys can see there’s two different runs. You can do a standard run or you can do a pro run. A standard run is for quicker trades. If you’re looking for a scalp or a day trade, I suggest the standard run. If you’re doing a swing trade that you have a lot more time, I would go with the prorun. The prorun will run through this is bas this is an algorithm. So we have written an algorithm based on my trading style and strategies and rule sets. I’ve been doing this for 19 years. The hedge fund that I used to work at, we actually had a trading algorithm. It’s it’s called a blackbox in the hedge fund community. Uh they don’t necessarily call it like an algo. It’s called a black box. Um, and what we’ve done here at True Trading Group is we’ve developed our own algorithm off of my trading style and rule sets. It’s 80% deterministic. Deterministic means it’s rules-based. Like there’s actual math and rules behind it. It’s not AI making a decision. It’s it’s 80% of it is deterministic. 20% of it is we we do use AI to interpret data and analyze data. So there’s 80% of this is really rules-based rules-based algorithm. 20% of is AI interpreting data and and analyzing data, which is really what AI is able to do much much much better than any human trader, any human element anywhere. Um, so you really want to make sure that you’re using AI to do the things that it is really the best at. You don’t want AI to just completely make decisions for you on, oh, do I want to go long? Do I want to go short? Do I want to get in here? Do I want to get out there? AI is not good enough to do that, no matter what anybody tells you. If anybody tells you that, I would run far away from those people because they’re completely full of [ __ ] Um, but AI is incredibly good at analyzing data. Um, so that’s what you want to use for. So here’s the tool. Let me just show you guys real quick. We’ll go through a standard run. Um, so first thing you’ll do is you’ll select the asset type that you want. Okay? So let’s just type in equity, but you guys can do option. You can do a futures contract. You can do a crypto. So, you select the asset type you want and then you type in the ticker symbol. So, we’ll do for this we’ll do the spy. And then you’ll put in your account size, how much money you want to risk on the trade, and then you select your trading style. So, you will do you can choose from a scalp, a day trade, a swing trade, or a long-term hold. So, for this for this example, Brett, why don’t we just do spy uh equity and then just do a day trade and click run analysis. So, that’s it. That’s all you need to do. That’s it. Now, you’ll wait 90 seconds or so and then you will then get a full detailed trading report. This is a multi- aent system. There’s a technical agent. Its only job is to analyze the technical analysis. It’ll do candlestick patterns, chart patterns, support, resistance, volume, indicators, etc. moving averages, Fibonacci, Ballinger bands, Elliot waves, the whole, you name it. It’s only job is to do that and that alone. Then you have a macro agent. The macro agent is designed to only focus on and analyze news and economic data. You have a wildcard agent whose only job is to control your risk and understand which elements and what catalysts are out there that could jeopardize your trade. And then those three agents run simultaneously but independently. The report that they each generate gets sent to the fourth agent which is the supervisor or the head trader agent. That agent’s only job is to assess the reports it gets from the other agents and then make a determination on do I want to go long, do I want to go short based on this information. and then will give you an entry, a stop-loss, and multiple profit targets along with a confidence score. Okay, you can see here on my screen, this is what a report looks like. On the very top is a summary. It will give you the direction as well as the confidence score on the analysis. It gives you a summary of the trigger on where to get in. It will then give you a breakdown of the trade plan. As you scroll down, you can see full detailed analysis from each individual agent that I had just mentioned along with confidence scores from them themselves individually. And then as you continue to scroll down, you’ll see ideal entry zones, uh percentage probability of reaching that entry zone, stop-loss level, profit target levels, it’s all right there for you. It even suggests for you position size. So, if you said that your risk is only $200, it’ll suggest for you how many shares or how many option contracts or how many futures contracts that you should be getting in order to maintain that level of risk. And this is what a holy grail trade plan generator report looks like. This tool has just over 70% accuracy on our platform. Our members have generated I don’t even know at this point. our members have probably generated I I’m we were at half a million plans generated like two weeks ago. Um I’d say at this point we’re probably into the 600s. Um it’s just been an unbelievable tool for us. We’ve had this tool out now for several months and it’s just been uh it’s been really really it’s it’s it’s been something that has helped a lot of traders kind of take their trades to the next level. So that one member Kwise who said they made 1,200 bucks in 10 minutes. I asked them how did you do that? what what tool were you using? And he said the holy grail. That’s that’s what this is. And you guys will get access to this when you guys join your training group. We actually even have a trial that you guys can use these tools. If there’s anyone that’s on this live stream that’s not a member, you guys could actually try our stuff for 90 days. We have a 90-day trial. You guys can use this tool. You can use our AI charting software. You guys can use all the stuff on our platform for 90 days. Just go to trueradinggroup.com990.
Um, and you guys can join us for 90 days for just 90 bucks. That’s our trial. We don’t do a 7-day trial or anything like that’s not enough time. Like 7 days is not enough time for you guys to familiarize yourself with the platform, use the tools, and really see if they’re going to make a difference in your trading. So, we’re going to give you guys 90 days to use this stuff. So go check it out, use the tools, implement it in your trading, you know, knock yourself out, go nuts with it, trade with us for, you know, trade with us live. And this way you don’t have to worry about if you’re really busy with work one week or one another week you’re sick and you just you waste your trial by not really being able to participate. This is 90 days, so there’s no rush. Get yourself, you know, acclimated to the the platform, use the tools, implement it in your own trading, and then tell me what you guys think. I don’t mind doing this this trial. We we charge you a dollar a day. We will lose money on everyone that does the trial. And I’m totally okay doing that because the the AI usage for you guys to use all these tools costs us more than $1 a day. But I’m okay letting you guys use it for a dollar a day because I believe once you do use them, you’re going to want to join and stay with us for a full year. So that’s why we do it this way. It’s kind of a um we put our money where our mouth is. We if if we we talk a big game about how great these tools are. So if they’re that great, we should let people use them and you should make money with them and then you’ll join. And that’s the way that it should be. And that’s how we do it here at True Training Group. So this is not a trust me, these tools are great. It’s no, join our trial, use them for yourself, make money with them, and then join us full-time. And that’s why we have a retention rate that’s in the mid70s because when people join True Trading Group, they stay with us because they have success, because they make money. So again, trueraining.com990. You guys can join the trial. If you have any questions or you need help signing up for whatever the reason, do not hesitate. Send us a text message 1888 621-2127.
Oh, look at that. Carmen Carmen, how are you? Carmen Owen says, “Join now. I joined after just 60 days.” So Carmen did the 90-day trial and they became an annual member after just 60 days. They said, “The hell with the 90, I don’t need 90. I after just 60 days, I know this is the place I want to be.” Um, and they were able to see the success using the tools, right? So there you go. I love to hear that. You’re well to fantastic comment. I love to hear it. Fantastic. So yeah, any questions guys or you need help signing up or you need clarity on something, whatever it is, shoot us a text 1888-621-2127. The phone number is right at the bottom of the screen if you guys need it. So again, just peep the bottom of the screen 1888-621-2127. Otherwise, you guys can go right to trueing.com990. There’s my boy Scott. Scott, how are you, man? Says, “I’m a lifetime member for over five years.” Carmen says, “Thank you for your platform. It’s my pleasure.”
All right, guys. With that said, let’s take things on over to the charts. Let’s do a quick check on futures. Let me uh take a peek. Ah, we turned back over. We turned back over. We’re back down a quarter percent. We we we had a nice little pop there right before we started the live stream and then we faded it back out. We were down around.3%. We popped up to be down around, you know, just under 0.2 0.15 and we are now faded off a little bit. We’re down again 0.25. So still slightly red. Um not a major pullback, not a major sell-off. Um but we are red um on futures, but nothing crazy. We’ll have to just keep our ears open for news and to see guys, you know, what what exactly is going on um with everything in the Middle East and and just just how much of an escalation do we see. Keep your eyes on oil. Oil will not lie, okay? Oil is a global globally priced market that is based purely on supply and demand with a sprinkle of speculation in there. But that supply and demand on the global market is something that cannot be cannot be hidden, cannot be, you know, faulted. So if you see oil just sitting in the mid70s, then no matter what you’re seeing in the news headlines, the supply and demand is not being disrupted as much as the news headlines might seem like it would be. So focus yourselves more. And this is something I’ve been telling people for the last several months. If you are making trading decisions based on the news headlines that you’re reading about what’s happening in the Middle East, you’re going to make the wrong decision eight times out of 10 because you’re going to read a news headline and you like, “Oh my goodness, that’s bad. That means the market’s going to go down. You’re going to go short and then you’re gonna get your absolute ass handed to you and you’re going to get absolutely steamrolled.” which is what happened to everybody in April and it’s what is what has been continuing to happen to people over the last couple of months. The market has continued to churn higher as oil has faded back into the 70s. As long as oil stays in the 70s, honestly it can even bump into the low 80s or so, which I think it actually might pop into the 80s. But if it just stays 70s, 80s, 70s, 80s, I think that we will be we’ll be totally fine. I think inflation will ease and I do think the markets will be will be free to to kind of breathe and continue to move higher. I’ve been bullish the markets now for the last two weeks. We switched up short in the month of June. We attacked b we shorted bounces the month of June. We expected a red month in June. We got that red month in June and then at the end of June we flipped into saying, “Okay, we’re looking now for to start to buy dips again, buy pullbacks into support.” We’ve been doing that so far for the really the last week of June into the first um the first two weeks of July and I’m continuing to do that. I am still on a buy pullbacks and support mindset. What I think ends up happening over the course of the next couple of weeks is I think the markets actually make a push to a new all-time high. And I think we’re going to make a new alltime high. I think earnings are going to be good. I have no reason to believe earnings are not going to be good. Earnings have been incredible so far this year. They’ve been amazing. So good that earnings expectations for next year have risen dramatically. And as long as that remains the case, I believe the markets will move higher. And the way that I’m thinking over the next couple of months, what I think happens in the market is I think that sometime between July and August, we make a new all-time high. That new all-time high sticks for a couple of days but fails to extend meaningfully and then falls back underneath the previous high. Once you fall back underneath that previous high, then you get closer into the month of September and then in September and the fall, I think the market sells off. So I I’m looking for pierce this here. If you look at my charts, I’ll just kind of draw it out for you just like a quick art here. Do arts and crafts with Michael Edward. What I think we’re going to see happen here, guys, over the course of the next several weeks, um, and really over the next two months is I think the market is go, you might you might chop around here. You might do something like this and then make that new all-time high, right? Make that new all-time high, sit here for like a couple of days, and then fail to extend and drop back underneath it. And once you drop back underneath it, then that prior high actually acts as resistance on your first bounce attempt. And then you get a nice significant pullback in the month of September. And and that’s what I and then that pullback takes you back down into some of these key support levels in the low 700s. And that becomes a very very very viable zone in the long-term portfolio before the markets recover. Then you get out of the midterm elections. The markets start to bounce back the end of the year and then I think the Fed cuts rates next year and the markets continue their bull rally and we go on to make new all-time highs in 2027. That’s what I think you’re going to see happen over the course of the next couple of months. Now, I could be wrong about that. Obviously, if there’s a catalyst that happens um that makes me change that, I will. Um, a huge part of me telling you this and a huge part of this analysis is the assumption that oil does not go back up to $100 a barrel. Um, if oil does go back up to $100 a barrel because of, you know, what’s going on in the Middle East, then this analysis changes. Then the odds of rate hikes would almost be certain at that point. inflation would not ease and the I would not be looking for a bull market to continue into next year. I’d be looking for probably a bare market in 2022. I mean, uh, excuse me, a bare market similar to 2022 in 2027. Um, that is not my base case, but if oil goes back to $100 a barrel or something like that, then I become very I become pretty bearish for 2027. But as it stands now, I’m still bullish for 2027 and I’m still bullish for the next couple of weeks. I think we’re going to make that new all-time high and then pull back underneath it and then roll over. So, let’s talk about what we think the markets are going to now. Let’s just keep kind of pulling it back. We’re going from long-term to then, you know, medium-term. Let’s go shortterm. Let’s talk about just this week and this week alone. Um, what I’m thinking about here, we we have a pretty sizable gap down here. Um it’s not nothing. Uh right now futures are sitting we just fell under 7,600. So we’re moving back to the lows right now. We’re down.3%. Um so we’re headed back towards the lows. And what I think is going to happen, I think the markets are going to continue to stair step. So that was the one um specific type of price action that I mentioned to our members two weeks ago. And if you if you were on my live stream two weeks ago on Sunday, I mentioned that to you guys as well about the stair step. I specifically said stairst step, which is like two days up, one day down, two days up, one day down, like that type of thing. Markets go $3 up, $2 down, $3 up, $1 down, $3 up, $2 down, right? Like stairstepping it, not breakout, rally, extreme parabolic move. And that’s what I still think we’re going to see. And this gap down that we have today just makes me still feel like we are going to be in this stairst step mentality. So you look take a look here. You see it looks like three three days up. You have this nice pullback day up day then two pullback days now two up days. And I just think we’re going to continue to do that. So I think that tomorrow maybe you get a nice little pullback day. A candle that looks something like this. But these support levels I think stick. So, you might get a little bit of a pullback in here and then I think the markets are going to continue to move to the upside as earnings then start to take the center stage because I think earnings are going to be good. Bank earnings are coming up this week. Starting on Tuesday, you’re getting JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Cityroup, um Goldman Sachs, right? All these bank earnings are going to start to kick off this week and that’s going to kind of set the tone and set the pace for earnings. I think those earnings are going to be good. I think they’re going to be um I think the market is going to receive them well and I think that’s going to kind of set the tone and get the markets moving higher. You also have CPI inflation data this week. I expect that data to be good because oil fell back down considerably last month, the month of June. Oil went all the way back down to where it was before the Iran war started. You had you had WTI back at $70. You had uh Brent back at 74 before the Iran war started. Oil was at 67. So we completely roundt okay the Iran war spike in oil prices last month. So I think we should see we should see inflation ease. If you get a combination this week of inflation easing, a good reaction to what I believe are going to be strong bank earnings. I think that is more powerful than the news headlines and the tit fortat going back and forth between the US and Iran with the different military strikes and a 3% move higher in oil. I don’t think a 3 or 4% move higher in oil, even a 5% move higher in oil prices. We see WTI at 767. We see Brent at 79. I don’t think that that’s enough to really kind of, you know, flip the market sentiment over. So, I still think we’re going to push higher. We just might need to absorb a pullback into a key support level to do so and continue this stairst step price action. We’ll go now break it down to a shorter time frame so I can really start to show you guys some of the support levels that I’m targeting uh for if and when these pullbacks happen. There are two main levels that I want to focus on on the spy. One of them is 752. The other one is 749. So these are the two support levels that I am here. I’ll give you a third one in case we get there. I don’t think we get this low, but in case we do, 746 would be the third. So these are three support levels that you should have your eyes on coming into this week. Okay? I mean, I’ll give you a fourth one. The fourth one is 740, but I really don’t think we get there. Um, but these are the support, these are the key support levels that are on my radar. 752, 749, 746, 740. Now, I’m going to start to look at the first two support levels for pullback. Okay, that’s what I’m going to look for. I’m looking for pullbacks right back into 752. I’m looking for pullbacks right back into 749. Right, that’s what I’m going to be targeting. And I think that these support levels are going to hold. Okay, I think they’re going to hold. So, I’m going to look for pullbacks into these zones. I will then be going long once these levels are tested. The first is 752. Next is 749.
All right. So, those are going to be the spots we’re going to look for to target the long. Now, if inflation comes in higher than expected, if the bank earnings are [ __ ] right, then we have to change that. I’m not just going to blindly be going long if the catalyst that I’m looking for don’t line up, right? If the bank earnings on Tuesday morning and they’re all reporting pre-market. So, we’re going to be able to get a really good feel for what the tone is and the sentiment is in the market on Tuesday before the market’s open. So, we come in Tuesday and JP Morgan’s down 5%, Goldman Sachs is down 6%, Wells Fargo is down 3%, Cityroup’s down 4%. Then I might not be so aggressive taking the long into these support levels. If the inflation data comes in on Tuesday, um, you know, 2/10 higher than expected and the markets are selling off down one and a half% by the time it’s 9:15 a.m., then I’m probably going to be sitting here and thinking to myself, ah, maybe I’m going to be a little bit more patient with these pullbacks into these support levels. But I don’t think that’s going to be the case. So, I’m getting ready to target the long. That’s where I’m going to do so. Now, let’s go from there. We’re going to shift things on over to some individual stocks. I am still really bullish on AMD. I think AMD’s chart looks absolutely freaking fantastic. I think this thing’s going to make a push at those all-time highs. I think we’re going to get up there and test 580. I’m still looking for the long. I like the the high of the day from Thursday and the high of the day from Friday. It is a cleancut clear double top at 600. What I’m going to look for, guys, is AMD to break above 600. Okay. And once AMD breaks above 600, I’m going to look for 600 to be support. I will be long in the low. I’m sorry, not 600. I’m sorry, guys. 560. I’m sorry. I was saying 600. 560. 600 is the KO because Kru is also on my watch list and that level is 600. So that’s why 600 was in my head. But I’m for AMD it’s 560. Sorry about that. 560. So when you have Thursday’s high 560, Friday’s high 560. If AMD breaks 560, I’m looking for it to make a move to 580. So I’m going to go long AMD in the low 560s, stop loss under 560 and look for a push up towards those all-time highs. I still think that this thing is strong. You’ve had a massive support level at 500. you have a nice month-long consolidation channel and we’re going to look for AMD to push back up to the top end of that channel and that takes you to 580. So above 560 I’m looking for longs on AMD. I would not overstay your welcome on the long. I would take profits into that 580. That is the all-time high. You want to make sure you guard against a double top. That’s AMD.
Next up we have Micron. Now, Micron is a little bit of a different story because I am bullish Micron for the next couple days, but I am bearish Micron over the next couple weeks. And let me explain to you why I think Micron is going to form a wicked head and shoulders. If you take a look at the chart that is on my screen right now, you will see the formation of a left shoulder,
a head, and what looks to start to be the formation of a right shoulder, and you have a very clear defined neckline. What I am looking for here on Micron is I’m looking for Micron for this week to push back up above $1,000, maybe get to 1025, 1050, get into like that 1050 area and then top out and turn back over. If if MU gets back up above a thousand and then turns back over, that would then form and solidify the right shoulder of this head and shoulders pattern and then you would look for a micron to give you a much more significant pullback from there. And that can coincide with a selloff in semiconductors and a selloff going into let’s say August and September, which is what I’m telling you. I think the market toss make a new all-time high, fail it, drop back underneath it, then sell off and give you a nice pullback. That nice pullback could line up with a head and shoulders forming on Micron. And a pullback on Micron that takes it back to 750ish. 750 is going to be a really nice support level. 750 to 800. That could be a beautiful spot. If you don’t own any micron in your long-term portfolio and you want to, that’s a spot where I would take a nibble. And that’s a very realistic profit. a very realistic target for us over the course of the next one or two months. So, if this head and shoulders forms, put that trade idea in your back pocket going into August and September because I think it’s going to be an absolute freaking monster for us when it forms. But in the meantime, very, very short term, I’m looking for like a two or three day push back above a,000 and let’s be there for it. I’m going to try to say if we get above Friday’s high, that’s $1,000 on the button. we get above that, let’s look for a $50 move to the upside. Take our profits off the table. Maybe even scale into a tier one entry on the short stop loss back against the previous shoulder high of around 1,100 and let that right shoulder form. Let it roll back over and the trigger for the break is if the stock breaks 900. You break 900, you’re breaking the neckline and you’re breaking the 50-day moving average. That is what will trigger the head and shoulders to the downside. Here is your neckline. It’s a little bit of a upward sloping neckline. It also lines up with this dark blue line. That’s the 50-day moving average. So, we look for Micron to give you one more move higher. Fail, roll back over, break that neckline. Okay, that’s what we’re going to be looking for there on Micron under 900. I am short Micron.
Next up, the KO. KO has this is where that 600 number comes from. Here’s your 600 number. As you guys can see, massive support here in May and June. We broke underneath it in July. Now, we’re consolidating underneath it. What I’m looking for for the KOU is I’m looking for KO to pop back up towards 600, run into that resistance level, and then turn back over and fall back down into the 400s. Okay, this is what I’m looking for on KO. Pop back to 600, roll back over down into the 400s. We made a awesome trade on KOU um a week and a half ago. We caught that short. Uh we caught this move to the downside, guys. Was a really great trade for us. Uh and I’m looking I’m I’m looking to beat this thing up again. All right, so we’ll look for a move back up into 600.
Next up, Core Reef. kind of a similar situation here. Just an area that used to be support that is now acting as resistance. So you can see here we had support in June around 92 to 94. You broke underneath it. You bounced back up. And now that level that the level that used to be support now acting as resistance and I’m just looking for Cororeweave to continue to pull. Okay, we’re looking for Corave to continue to pull. So, if recall, we’ve been looking at shorts in the in the low 90s or so and then targeting the targeting a move into the low 80s, like an 82 81 target there on the downside. Next up, Meta. Some great news on with Meta last week to finish out the week, Thursday and Friday. Back-to-back kind of news for the stock. Big support level at 640. Let it pull in and then look for the long off of 640. 640 yellow line. That’s the 200 day moving average. And then you have this previous pivot resistance double top at the end of May and early June. Prior to that, you had all that. You had structure right here on this gap up with the gap entry there in April. So just some really good structure there around 640. So what we’re going to do here is just going to look for Meta to fade down towards 650 preferably like high 640s and then look for a bounce off of that level. Okay, that’s going to be meta.
That’s really it. Oh, SpaceX. Sorry, last one. SpaceX. So, SpaceX is kind of a tricky one.
Everybody sees this support level at 148, right? Everybody sees this support level at 148. And it looks like on Friday it broke. But if you get back above it,
you got to you got to look for SpaceX to do something like this and just screw everybody. I I told people last week um I told people last week that I really kind of felt like that SpaceX might trap short sellers under 150. Um, and the the the setup the the pattern’s there for it, but you would need the only way I go long SpaceX this week is if this stock is green tomorrow, not Tuesday, not Wednesday, if this stock is green tomorrow. Let’s say SpaceX goes to 150 tomorrow. If you see SpaceX at 150 tomorrow, I’m going to go long SpaceX. I’m looking to trap everybody short underneath 150, which is the IPO open, and then pop this thing back up into the mid to high 150s. Um, so if I see 150 tomorrow, if I see 149, 150, I’m going to go long. Uh, my stop loss would be down around 146. And we look for this thing to pop back, you know, maybe even into the 160s. But if that’s not the case, if we wake up tomorrow and this thing is weak, um, and I don’t see any type of that bounce back into towards 150, I think it’s I think you’re safe to short it under 145. I think it would be safe to go short at 145, 146. Your stop loss would be like 148 and a half, 149 uh, and let it fade out because then you can say, then I would say that 150 level is broken. that 150 level to me 148 150 it’s not necessarily really broken yet it’s being tested so I don’t want to just I don’t want to jump the gun and be early there because I am like I said I think short sellers could get trapped so I wouldn’t really wait for confirmation that the level is broken and the level’s cleared and in order for me to say that the level’s broken and cleared we got to break through Wednesday’s low and Friday’s low you have a potential double bottom there you got to break that if you break that you’re good to go short. Okay, you break that, you’re good to go short. So, SpaceX is on my list is why I had SpaceX. I saved it for the very end. All the other stocks I just mentioned to you, I have clear clear conviction on direction. SpaceX, I’m coming in. SpaceX is on my watch list, but it’s I’m neutral. I have a long idea. I have a short idea. I’m going to wait. Let the markets kind of tell me which direction I want to lean on before I go ahead and take a position early. But, I do like the setup. I think you can make money either way depending on what the stock gives us tomorrow. That’s why it’s on the watch list. And that wraps it up. That does it for me. I hope you guys enjoyed the live stream. Um I hope you guys feel better prepared for the week ahead. We’ve got um some really big catalyst. You’ve got all the inflation data. You got the earnings. You’ve got Iran. All of this stuff is working itself through um within the next couple of days. So, I expect no shortage of news headlines. I expect no shortage of volatility. I expect no shortage of money-making opportunities. Get your butts in chat. If you are not part of this group, go to trueradinggroup.com990. Join us for 90 days. It’s a full trial for you guys. You can use all the AI tools that are on the platform, unrestricted access. Make money with us. See what this group is all about. And then you can talk about joining us for the full year. That’s trueraininggroup.com990.
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